Health
Over 100 years later, the 1918 Spanish flu sheds light on the potential effects of the coronavirus pandemic
Indianapolis, IN — Over 100 years old, but some of the findings from the Spanish flu could help address today’s COVID-19 pandemic.
“There are quite a few comparisons,” says Brian Dixon, Associate Professor of Epidemiology at Richard M. Fairbanks Public School of Health and Director of Public Health Informatics at the Regenstrief Institute. “Of course, modern medicine and society are very different than they were at the time.”
Despite these differences, researchers and economists say there is much to learn from the Spanish influenza pandemic, like the potential of the second wave of autumn.
“These illnesses may creep up quickly at the end of the flu season and then lie dormant for a while, but come back and probably have another punch,” Dixon said. “So we just want to make sure we’re ready for the upcoming second punch.”
Mr Dixon said the best way to do that was to facilitate economic resumption. IU Kelly School of Business economist Kyle Anderson agreed.
“One of the things that was discovered during the 1918 flu was that it was more aggressive towards what is now called social distance, and that cities and the like that remain residentially ordered are actually The economic recovery was better than the cities that weren’t. “Anderson.
Today’s technology makes self-quarantine much easier than it was in 1918. You can talk to people via video chat and get everything you need directly to your door through online ordering and shipping.
“With the internet and technology, you can work remotely,” says Anderson. “So the economies of the day were very different. The manufacturing brought so many people closer together that it really took a big hit.”
Anderson said manufacturing today is more automated and workers can move a little further away. What is really hurt right now is the service department.
“ If there is a second round, the economic impact of that could be really devastating, as many homes and businesses want to recover financially in late summer and fall. “Anderson said.
Both experts agree that the country should be prudently open.
“I’m so excited about the possibility of flattening the early curves that we shouldn’t go back soon,” said Dixon. “Really, we need to be prepared over time, protect people from this disease and give it some relief.”
We need to learn more on Friday about Governor Eric Holcomb’s plans to reopen the state. He said it would be a phased process.
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