Another wave of coronavirus can hit the United States in the fall. Here’s why and what we can do to stop it

The New York-Coronavirus pandemic may have slowed down in many parts of the country due to efforts to keep it away from society, but has not yet planned a party, vacation, or trip to the office. According to experts, the virus will not soon be a thing of the past.

The second round of the Covid-19 case, when it comes to the “inevitable” fall, seeks to resume the everyday lives of the people more and more, and as more states relax or cancel their home orders, the country’s best infection Said the illness doctor.

“The virus is extremely contagious and has spread all over the world, so it will almost certainly come back,” said Anthony Fauci, who was announced earlier this week at a Washington economic club webinar.

Forchi, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Americans could fall into “terrible fall and terrible winters” if the country isn’t prepared.

This is what we know about the potential second wave of viruses and the reasons behind them.

Why in autumn?

While there are many aspects of viruses that remain unknown to scientists, older viruses provide some clues.

People usually get infected 4 common coronaviruses According to them, they were first identified in the mid-1960s US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And they tend to peak in the winter months.

Dr. Greg Poland, a professor of medicine and infectious diseases at the Mayo Clinic, said SARS-CoV-2, the technical name for the new coronavirus that causes Covid-19, is likely to follow this pattern.

If that happens, the second wave of virus will come back in time for the start of the flu season. The flu A constant threat to Americans And in recent years it has been devastating. CDC At least 39 million cases of influenza At least 24,000 people have died in the US during the 2019-2020 season.

Director of Poland, Mayo Clinic Vaccine Research GroupThe second wave of Covid-19 and the seasonal combination of influenza can cause “a lot of confusion” due to overlapping symptoms, which can put a significant strain on the healthcare system, he said.

It won’t be the first pandemic to take effect. In 2009, the United States H1N1 influenza virus, Known as Swine Flu in the spring. A few months later, the second wave was reported in autumn and winter. Says the CDC.

“Often, not always … often the second wave of pandemics gets worse,” Poland said, adding that coronavirus pandemics spread well during the flu season.

Another example is 1918 influenza pandemic, And about 67 million Americans died worldwide. At that time, there was the first mild spring wave in the United States, but a deadly second wave struck the country in September.

The novel coronavirus is At least another 18 months. According to reports, there are several possible scenarios for the pandemic course, but the worst is the second wave of infection, as was the 1918 flu pandemic. Infectious Disease Research Policy Center At the University of Minnesota.

“This doesn’t stop until 60-70% of people are infected,” said Mike Osterholm, director of CIDRAP, in an interview with CNN.

“The idea that this will happen soon is contrary to microbiology.”

Osterholm Co-authored CIDRAP report Released on Thursday, the US recommended preparing for the worst scenarios, including the second major wave of coronavirus infections in fall and winter.

What can you do about the second wave of infection?

Health experts say the coming months will be a good time to prepare for a potential second outbreak of the virus.

Hospitals and clinics need to replenish their inventory of personal protective equipment and testing supplies. A few experts told CNN that people should try to be healthier if possible, keep face masks for the time being, and keep the gathering under 10 people.

Poland said that once the city reopens, it should plan to quickly reissue home orders and other strict social distance measures in the future.

Dr Helen Boucher, Head of Geography and Infectious Diseases at Tufts University Medical Center, said health authorities across the country should continue to focus on expanding coronavirus testing, contact tracing and treatment.

“I hope more tools will be included in the toolbox. Perhaps by then there will be several treatments for Covid-19, which will give a better diagnosis,” Boucher said.

The Trump administration estimates that the vaccine is 12 to 18 months ahead, but Some leaders in this field are: That timeline may be too fast.

Improving the way healthcare professionals deal with coronavirus pandemics is key, said the country, “when it’s time to face both coronavirus and influenza outbreaks, we are as ready as possible. I am here. “

Most experts believe that people who have recovered from the virus have some immunity, but Poland says it’s unclear how strong that immunity may be or how long it lasts. The accuracy of antibody tests is inconsistent.

“We put a lot of hope in that, but we don’t have an answer yet,” said Poland. “This (virus) is only 16 weeks old, so there are many things I don’t know yet.”

of Experimental antiviral drug lemdecivir Was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration on Friday to treat severely hospitalized Covid-19 patients.

The drug that is the first approved treatment for Covid-19 Far from cureAccording to a government-funded study, patients who took it recovered faster than those who did not.

“We have something to do and we are looking for other treatments. The trial will continue,” said Andre Carril, the study’s main study, told CNN Elizabeth Cohen earlier this week. .

Has the virus returned elsewhere?

Yes.

In recent weeks, Singapore has seen a dramatic surge in coronavirus infections. Foreign worker dormitory cluster.

Singapore was initially praised for its apparent ability to control its response and infection during the first three months of the coronavirus pandemic. After that, the number of incidents exploded in April.

Since March 17, the number of cases in Singapore has increased from 266 to over 17,000. Johns Hopkins University.

To limit the spread of the infection, the government quarantined dormitories, tested workers, and tried to move symptomatic patients to a quarantine facility. This is a daunting task because workers live in cramped situations and it is impossible to keep their social distance. The government has also enacted what is called a “circuit breaker.” This is a package of restrictions and new rules combined with severe punishment.

Semi-autonomous city of China Hong Kong The number of cases that increased sharply after the deregulation in March was relatively small. Many cases were imported from abroad as Hong Kong residents who were looking for safety came back with the virus when they were working abroad or studying abroad, or when they were destined for a large outbreak earlier this year. it was done.

The-CNN-Wire ™ & © 2018 Cable News Network, Inc., Time Warner Company. all rights reserved.

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