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Are we at the beginning of the third Covid wave? Data suggest brighter images

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This is the nature of Covid’s exponential growth, where the number of cases remains relatively low at this time, but the UK case rate has increased by two-thirds in the past week alone.

In the northwest, the delta variant First became the dominant stock In areas such as Bolton and Blackburn, infection rates are now the highest since February 22, the end of the second wave.

But the numbers in the headlines of concern hide the optimistic reason in detail. People in the most vulnerable age groups do not react as positively as they did when the second wave of summer began.

For example, one month after cases began to increase in the region, the 80-84 age group was one of the first priorities in the UK vaccination deployment, with a case rate of 16.4 per 100,000. was. The incidence of this group was as high as 62.5 at the same time in the second wave.

Nonetheless, cases are still increasing among these older groups, albeit at a slower rate, especially when compared to the younger generation.

It may be noted that delaying the “free day” by a few weeks may be a measure of whether this is a continuous trend or a delay in filtering cases from adolescents to the elderly. Maybe.

Slow growth in the number of inpatients

Even with the rise in cases in the UK, government scientific advisers hope that a surge in infections will not lead to a surge in inpatients. Thanks to vaccine protection..

Studies have increasingly suggested that cases are no longer associated with serious illness among vaccinated individuals.

This broken link may now be reflected in the northwest – enrollment is clearly increasing now, but at a much slower rate than in the fall.

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