Health
The number of “Rs” will rise to 1.4, but scientists say vaccination of young people will change the course.
Steven Riley, a professor of infectious disease dynamics at Imperial, said: Different parts of the epidemic – we know that the population has a lot of immunity.
“The part of the growing population is the proportion of all unvaccinated. Rapid deployment and mass vaccination of the younger age group, where the majority of infections are seen, should effectively slow down their growth. is.”
The team mapped the number of infections to hospitalizations and deaths, with a delay of 19 days between infection and hospitalization and 26 days between infection and death.
They found a clear link between infection levels and mortality earlier in the year, which began to decline around March with a clear decline in mortality per case. “Each unit of prevalence produces fewer and fewer deaths,” Riley said.
However, while this trend continued for people over the age of 65, the number of cases leading to the death of young people who were not vaccinated began to increase again.
The results also showed that the proportion of people who tested positive was highly dependent on vaccination. Only 0.6% of fully vaccinated people aged 65 and over were found to be infected, while 0.23% of unvaccinated children under the age of 65 were infected.
Professor Paul Elliott, Chair of Epidemiology and Public Health Medicine at the Imperial University, said:
“There is a delay between the time the vaccine is given and the time it is protected, but the sooner the vaccine is given, the better the protection.”
On Monday, the government announced Roadmap delay By July 19, an additional 10 million people are expected to receive a second jab to allow more people to be vaccinated.
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