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How have UK opinion polls changed since the Downing Street Party Story emerged?

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Labor has a small but consistently leading Conservative lead in national polls, which has been largely behind the UK government in the past few years.

Keir Starmer’s party has been ahead of the polls since early December when talk of a Downing Street party taking place during the Covid-19 lockdown first appeared.

Leads vary in size, narrowing earlier this month and have been increasing again recently.

Based on a seven-day moving average of all polls published nationally, Labor received 40% of the vote on January 14, leading the Conservatives 32%, Liberal Democrats 12% and Greens 5%.

Labor’s eight-point lead is almost the opposite of what it was six months ago, when the Conservatives averaged 42% and Labor at 32%.

The LDP also improved its performance by an average of between 10% and 12% since early December.

The party has spent much of the period since the 2019 general election in a single figure.

Opinion polls are not predictions or predictions, but a snapshot of the prevailing public mood.

With more than two years left before the next general election, the latest possible date is May 2, 2024, plenty of time for the country numbers to change.

But with local elections taking place across Britain in less than four months on May 5, every politician will be scrutinizing the numbers for clues as to what could happen on Election Day.

Only time will tell if the current public outrage over the revelations of a majority Downing Street party under lockdown will shift from the ballot box to a Conservative beating.

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