US Open 2024 Odds, Golf Picks: Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy Predictions by Model Who Succeeded at Masters, PGA

Justin Rose's only major victory came at the US Open in 2013. He will enter the 2024 US Open as a more experienced professional, having won 11 events on the PGA Tour. The 43-year-old achieved his best result of the 2024 season at the PGA Championship in May. However, Rose has struggled throughout the 2024 season, finishing T-44 or worse in six of his last eight starts. The Englishman will be among the best shooters at the 2024 US Open, which begins from No. 2 Pinehurst in North Carolina on Thursday June 13.

Should Rose be included in your 2024 US Open prediction, or would you rather back a player like Scottie Scheffler, who has four wins this season? According to the latest US Open 2024 odds, Scheffler is the 4-1 favorite, while Rose is a 65-1 favorite. Before locking in your picks for the 2024 US Open or entering PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine's proven computer model.

Our exclusive model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been booming since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing the tournament after tournament.

McClure's model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. This bet reached +9,000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm to be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two shots out of the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model's second consecutive Masters victory, which also set Scheffler up for victory in 2022.

This same model also won 12 majors entering the weekend, including three straight Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Everyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2024 US Open is approaching, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected 2024 US Open standings.

US Open 2024 predictions for Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy

A shock that the model calls for at the 2024 US Open: Brooks Koepka (12-1), five-time major winner and US Open champion in 2017 and 2018, struggles and barely reaches the top 10. The last major victory de Koepka took place at the 2023 PGA Championship, but he hasn't come close to winning another major since then. He's ranked outside the top 25 in the first two majors this year, and he's on a streak of four majors without even a top 10, tying the longest drought without a top 10 of his career.

Koepka has had a lot of success in recent international tournaments, but has struggled at the domestic level. In his last 10 U.S. starts, none have resulted in a top-10 finish, although many of them have smaller fields where it would be easier to climb the rankings. Plus, Koepka has already faced No. 2 Pinehurst once, and he's only been able to break par once in his four rounds of play. Find out who else to fade here.

The model also locked in its projection for Tiger Woods (125-1), a 15-time major winner. It will be Woods' first start at the US Open since 2020, when he shot 10 over par and missed the cut. Since then, he has made six starts in major tournaments, making two cuts, missing two cuts and withdrawing twice. He missed the cut in his last start at the PGA Championship, but he also noted a physical improvement in the way he felt, saying: “I have to clean up my rounds but also know physically, yes, I'm better than 'a month ago.'

With a month having passed since that comment, Woods should, in theory, be in even better physical condition for the US Open. Its past success at Pinehurst should also provide optimism with two top-three finishes at the course when it hosted the U.S. Open in 1999 and 2005. It's been 10 years since Pinehurst No. 2 hosted a PGA Tour event, both in the United States. The Open 2024 peloton will participate for the first time. Woods' experience on the course cannot be overlooked, so he will look to build on that rather than his recent results at major tournaments. Find out where each golfer ends up here.

On the other hand, the model looked at Rory McIlroy's (9-1) chances of winning his second US Open after being victorious in 2011. McIlroy has been red hot in recent weeks, picking up two wins in his last four starts. He also finished fourth at the RBC Canadian Open earlier this month.

McIlroy was able to achieve these positive results thanks to his efficiency off the tee. The 35-year-old is ranked second in total driving (41), second in driving distance (318.1) and third in strokes gained off the tee (0.861). He had streaks with his putter in 2024, ranking 40th in strokes gained putting (.302) and 42nd in putts per round (28.49). Check out the model's full US Open projections here.

How to make US Open 2024 picks

The model targets three golfers with odds of 20-1 or better for the 2024 US Open who will make surprising runs. Anyone who sustains these long shots could succeed big. You can only see the model's picks for the 2024 US Open here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open, which long shots will stun the golf world and where will Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the latest 2024 US Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2024 US Open standings, all from the model that has won 12 golf majors, including the Masters and the This year's PGA Championship.

US Open 2024 odds and field

Check out the full 2024 US Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1 Rory McIlroy 9-1 Wyndham Clark 22-1 Joaquin Niemann 25-1 Cameron Smith 25-1 Max Homa 30-1 Justin Thomas 33-1 Cameron Young 35-1 Dustin Johnson 35-1 Jordan Spieth 35-1 Hideki Matsuyama 35-1 Shane Lowry 40-1 Sahith Theegala 40-1 Tom Kim 40-1 Tony Finau 40-1 Sungjae Im 40-1 Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1 Jason Day 45-1 Tommy Fleetwood 50-1 Min Woo Lee 50-1 Tyrrell Hatton 50-1 Brian Harman 55- 1 Corey Conners 60-1 Sam Burns 60-1 Patrick Reed 60-1 Si Woo Kim 65-1 Justin Rose 65-1 Sepp Straka 70-1 Louis Oosthuizen 75-1 Abraham Ancer 75-1 Rickie Fowler 75-1 Adam Scott 75 -1 Talor Gooch 75-1 Russell Henley 90-1 Daniel Berger 100-1 Keegan Bradley 100-1 Keith Mitchell 125-1 Ryan Fox 125-1 JT Poston 125-1 Billy Horschel 125-1 Tiger Woods 125-1 Sergio Garcia 125 -1 Thomas Pieters 150-1 Kurt Kitayama 150-1 Phil Mickelson 150-1 Mito Pereira 150-1 Denny McCarthy 150-1 Harris English 150-1 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150-1 Adam Schenk 175-1 Emiliano Grillo 175-1 Austin Eckroat 175 -1 Robert MacIntyre 175-1 Marc Leishman 175-1 Adam Hadwin 175-1 Lucas Glover 200-1 Nick Taylor 200-1 Davis Riley 200-1 Mackenzie Hughes 200-1 Jason Kokrak 200-1 Harold Varner III 225-1 Seamus Power 225-1 Taylor Moore 250-1 Ben Kohles 250-1 Gary Woodland 250-1 Aaron Wise 250-1 Francisco Molinari 350-1 Joel Dahmen 350-1 Martin Kaymer 500-1 Bernhard Langer 750-1

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