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Punters love Scottie Scheffler at US Open despite low odds

Punters love Scottie Scheffler at US Open despite low odds
Punters love Scottie Scheffler at US Open despite low odds

 


Doug Greenberg, ESPNJJune 12, 2024, 5:32 p.m. ET

The central betting story ahead of the US Open is the same as before the Masters and PGA Championship: Scottie Scheffler is a heavy favorite and is experiencing some of the shortest odds for a major since the original Tiger Woods.

The 27-year-old opened the week at +300 on ESPN BET and was bet at +290; on the market, it only lacks +250. This is the shortest odds for a golfer to win the US Open since Woods in 2007 (+250).

Despite extremely short odds, Scheffler still attracts a very good number of tickets and even more handles.

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Sportsbooks across the US betting landscape report that Scheffler is their leader in betting and money, with ESPN BET saying he has 13.1% of tickets and 31.7% of hands. BetMGM reports an incredible 44.7% check on the Texas native, while Fanatics Sportsbook claims he has drawn three times more money to win at Pinehurst No. 2 than any other golfer in the field.

“It's a bit surprising to me because the price is so short. In golf you try to look for someone who has a decent price, but punters feel like he's unstoppable,” Johnny said Avello, DraftKings director of racing and sports betting operations. ESPN. He adds that the “real odds” for Scheffler are closer to +500, but even with the possibility of pushing the price below +300, bettors continue to bet on him.

“Price is a factor in both his recent form and his immense popularity with punters, which is still evident in the number of bets we have taken on him so far,” said Patrick Jay, manager from ESPN BET sports betting, to ESPN by email. “He has been the most bet on player at every major tournament this year, and the US Open is shaping up to be no different.”

From a betting perspective, the only possible comparison for Scheffler's incredible form is that of Woods. From 2000 to 2009, Woods was rated +300 or lower seven times at the US Open, peaking at a stunning +120 in 2001 – a tournament where he finished T-12, although he ended up winning the major tournament three times. during this decade.

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But the longer Scheffler's dominance continues, the more impressive it becomes and the more relevant the comparisons to Woods become.

“I never thought we would get to this point again where there is a guy who has a low chance with these type of golfers, but Scottie is the guy right now,” Avello said.

Scheffler's popularity makes his sports betting responsibilities somewhat complicated. While his low odds indicate he won't be as much of a problem for the books as, say, Bryson DeChambeau or Collin Morikawa (both 14-1 at ESPN BET), the volume and fervor surrounding Scheffler still makes him a hazard. .

“It's a huge handicap because we had an open market for a whole year, which probably opened between 10 and 12-1. So with him winning so consistently, guess what? They bet everything they can . for things that are available to him,” Caesars golf trader Anthony Salleroli told ESPN. “So this year-long exhibition created some liability for us and just a tidal wave of tickets.”

Still, Scheffler isn't sports betting's biggest concern. That honor belongs to who else, Woods, who at 200-1 or higher has still drawn significant action to win the tournament, with FanDuel reporting that he has the fourth most tickets to win the tournament with 4 %. He's also the most popular pick in the “Make/Miss the Cut” market on ESPN BET, with 80% backing him to make the cut at +220.

“Tiger at his peak was like nothing else we’ve seen in this sport,” Jay says. “Scottie has enjoyed good form and is deservedly No.1 in the world at the moment, but he has a long way to go before he enters that territory of sustained dominance and short odds, event after event.”

Sources

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2/ https://www.espn.com/golf/story/_/id/40336877/bettors-love-scottie-scheffler-us-open-short-odds

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