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US stock markets rise after days of turmoil
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U.S. stocks opened higher on Tuesday as an uneasy calm returned to global markets after days of sharp declines.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 all posted early gains.
The rise follows mixed trading in the UK and Europe, with London's FTSE 100 initially rising before falling.
In Japan, the Nikkei 225 stock index jumped 10.2 percent, or 3,217 points, its biggest one-day gain after falling the previous day.
The stock market rout began on Friday after disappointing US employment figures for July showed the unemployment rate had risen, sparking fears of a recession.
There are also concerns that the shares of big tech companies – particularly those investing heavily in artificial intelligence (AI) – have been overvalued and that some of these companies are now facing difficulties.
Volatility intensified on Monday, spreading to Europe and Asia, where Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 12%.
But recently, on Tuesday, the global situation seemed more positive:
The Nasdaq, which had been the most volatile in recent days, was up about 2.4% early in the afternoon. The S&P 500 was up 2.2% and the Dow Jones was up 1.7%. In London, the FTSE 100 closed up 0.2% while the German Dax was flat and the French Cac 40 lost 0.3%. In addition to Japan, the stock markets of South Korea and Taiwan also recovered, rising about 3.5% after record declines.
“Markets were hit by a perfect storm over the weekend, with many factors combining to spook investors,” said Rachel Winter, partner at investors Killik & Co.
She added that nervousness over the US election had also contributed to the volatility, as “markets hate uncertainty”.
“Markets are expected to remain volatile”
Economists are divided over the outlook for the U.S. economy, with a number warning that it is premature to suggest the world's largest economy is heading for a slowdown.
If so, it would have wider implications.
“What happens in the United States economically and financially does not stay in the United States,” said economist Mohamed El-Erian, who is also president of Queens' College, Cambridge.
“The United States has been the main driver of global economic growth. The American consumer is a very important driver of economic activity. So the world as a whole would suffer if the United States went into recession.”
Fears of a recession have revived calls for the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its next meeting in September to boost growth.
Last week, the Fed voted to keep rates in a range of 5.25% to 5.5% – the highest level in two decades – while other central banks moved to lower them.
Some experts believe this is a mistake and that stock markets are likely to remain unstable as a result.
Markets are very volatile right now and will likely remain so until the Fed's decision in September, so we don't rule out rapid swings in either direction, said Stefan Angrick, senior economist at Moody's Analytics.
“Japan's fundamentals are strong”
The sharp drop in Japanese stocks on Monday was partly driven by problems facing the country's economy.
Japan's currency, the yen, has strengthened against the U.S. dollar since the Bank of Japan raised interest rates last week, making Tokyo stocks – and Japanese assets in general – more expensive for foreign investors and buyers.
At the same time, inflation in Japan rose more than expected in June, while the economy contracted in the first three months of the year.
Commenting on the country's outlook, Jesper Koll, executive director of Monex Group Japan, said he still had confidence in the country.
“Japan's fundamentals are strong, there is no risk of recession and business leaders are determined to increase returns on capital,” he told the BBC.
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