6 Southern California US House races to watch – NBC Los Angeles

What you need to know Democrats hold every major statewide office in California and outnumber registered Republicans 2-to-1, but that doesn't mean much in the U.S. House races. United in the region. There are several competitive elections that could play a role in determining the balance of power in the United States House of Representatives. Adding to the uncertainty, several California Republicans represent districts that President Biden won in 2020.

Control of the U.S. House of Representatives could come down to a few key competitive races that will be up to Southern California voters to decide.

Once the dust settles from California's March primary, with races with more candidates vying for votes, the top two finishers in each race are ready for November's high-stakes runoffs.

While Democrats hold every major statewide office and outnumber registered Republicans 2-to-1 in California, there are pockets of strong support for Republican candidates in parts of Southern California. Adding to the uncertainty, several California Republicans represent districts that President Biden won in 2020, making the region a wild card player in the makeup of the U.S. House of Representatives.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election in 2024. Republicans have 220 members, compared to 212 for Democrats. There are three vacancies.

Here are some key races for the U.S. House of Representatives in Southern California with results from the March primary elections.

American House, District 27

Rep. Mike Garcia won this district north of Los Angeles in 2022 by 6 percentage points over Democrat Christy Smith and has held on since the March primary. George Whitesides, the former CEO of Virgin Galactic, finished second in the primary and will challenge the incumbent in the general election in one of the five California districts that voted for Joe Biden in 2020.

It's also a district that favored Republican Brian Dahle by a slight margin over Gov. Gavin Newsom in the 2020 gubernatorial election.

Garcia, who served in the U.S. Navy and the U.S. Navy Reserve, was first elected in a special election in 2020. The special election was called after the resignation of Democrat Katie Hill, who defeated a Republican in 2018, due to a sex scandal. He was re-elected against Smith in 2022, 53.2% to 46.8%.

Whitesides served as NASA chief of staff in the Obama administration.

The Northern Los Angeles County district includes Santa Clarita, Lancaster, Palmdale and other high desert communities.

American House District 40

GOP Rep. Young Kim is serving a second term after winning the district two years ago by 14 percentage points. Kim, one of three Korean Americans who were first elected to Congress in 2020, served the California Assembly for two years.

Kim will face former fire captain and union president Joe Kerr in the November election. Kerr served for more than 30 years with the Orange County Fire Authority. He also served as union president of the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association. Kerr was unsuccessful in his 2022 bid for a seat in the state Senate and on the Orange County Board of Supervisors in 2018.

The district includes parts of Orange, San Bernardino and Riverside counties. The communities of Aliso Viejo, Corona, Chino Hills, Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, Rancho Santa Margarita, Tustin and Villa Park in the 40th District.

President Biden won the district by a narrow margin in 2020.

President Biden won the district by a narrow margin in 2020. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats in the district by a margin of 38% to 34% in September.

American House District 41

This sprawling Riverside County congressional district is headed for a rematch. Longtime Republican Rep. Ken Calvert won the race against Democrat Will Rollins.

The two were separated by less than 5 percentage points in the 2022 elections.

Calvert is the longest-serving Republican in California's congressional delegation, having held his seat in this district east of Los Angeles since 1993. Rollins, a former federal prosecutor, has another chance to unseat the incumbent in November .

Note: Palm Springs has been added to this constituency since the last election.

The district also includes Menifee, Lake Elsinore, Rancho Mirage, most of Corona and Palm Desert.

American House District 45

Rep. Michelle Steel advanced easily from the primary in her race against four Democrats, including the primary's second runner-up, Derek Tran, a veteran and civil rights attorney. Tran received only 16 percent of the vote to Steel's 55 in the crowded primary.

This district supported Joe Biden for president in 2020, but voted for Republican John Cox over Gavin Newsom in the 2018 gubernatorial election. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans, but Steel beat a Democrat in 2020 before being re-elected in 2022.

District 45, which re-elected Steel with 52.4% of the vote in 2022, includes parts of Orange and Los Angeles counties. The neighborhood includes Garden Grove, Westminster, Buena Park and Artesia. Parts of Brea, Lakewood, Fullerton and Yorba Linda are in the C-shaped neighborhood that surrounds Anaheim.

American House, District 47

This once solidly Republican district that stretches from Huntington Beaches and Newport on the Orange County coast and inland to Irvine is the only open-door seat among California's most competitive races. The seat was vacated by Katie Porter, who was running for Senate but has not advanced since the March primary and is not seeking re-election.

Scott Baugh, who lost to Porter by less than 4 percentage points in 2022, and Democratic Sen. Dave Min are headed to a runoff. Baugh won the primary with 32 percent of the vote. Min was second with just under 26 percent, with the remaining votes split among the other candidates.

The district had been represented by Republicans since its creation until Porter defeated then-Rep. Mimi Walters in 2018.

American House, District 49

Democratic U.S. Rep. Mike Levin stepped forward to defend his seat in this Southern California district that includes parts of Orange and San Diego counties.

Voters chose Levin in 2018 to replace longtime Republican Darrell Issa, who has since returned to Congress in a neighboring district. Levin has since been re-elected twice by six points in 2020 and 5 points in 2022.

This time around, he will face a challenge from Republican Matt Gunderson, an auto dealership owner who failed in his bid for state Senate in 2022. Gunderson chairs the board of the Mission Hospital Foundation and was on the Saddleback College Foundation board.

Cities in the district include Oceanside, Carlsbad, Encinitas and the southern Orange County communities of San Clemente, Dana Point, San Juan Capistrano, Laguna Niguel and Ladera Ranch.

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