Christmas could be the warmest day on British history, Met Office predicts | uk weather

Britain is heading into one of its warmest Christmases on record, with the Met Office predicting that maximum temperatures in some parts of the UK could rise more than 6 degrees above seasonal averages.

Noticeably milder weather arrived in time for Christmas Eve, with forecasters predicting automated weather stations would record 13-14C across most of England, with areas such as north-east Wales possibly registering 15C. .

Christmas itself is expected to be around 1 degree cooler, but will still be much warmer than the average temperature of 6-7C for the year, closer to the warmest British Christmas on record in 1920 when it hit 15.6C. Killerton, Devon.

It may not be the crisp winter days many people love at Christmas, but at least it will be mostly dry and stable, Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern said. He said of a very mild Christmas Eve: In the UK this type of weather seems to be becoming more and more traditional during the Christmas season.

A warm front is currently sitting over the UK, coming in from the Atlantic and blanketing the country with a blanket of clouds, but there will be some moments of sun. The front arrived by a mangle-like mechanism, with the UK positioned between low pressure to the north producing counterclockwise winds and high pressure to the south producing clockwise winds.

Due to unusually high temperatures, the Met Office believes a white Christmas is unlikely in the UK this year, ending four years of Christmases from 2020 to 2023 with at least some snow.

For the Met Office to declare a White Christmas, an official Met Office observer or one of the automated weather stations must observe at least one snowflake falling on that date. There are no records of snowfall on Christmas Day in the UK in 2018 or 2019.

The expectation of a white Christmas dates back to the cold climate of 1550 to 1850, when Britain and the rest of the Northern Hemisphere were stuck in a mild ice age and snow was more common. On some January days, temperatures dropped enough for Londoners to hold a frost fair on the River Thames, complete with a football field, food stalls and makeshift pubs.

Since the Industrial Revolution, global warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions has increased average temperatures, further reducing the likelihood of a white Christmas. These days, Christmas is closer to the start of the snow season in most countries, so there's a higher chance of snow in the winter. A typical December in the UK averages three days with snow on the ground, with this figure rising to 3.3 days in January and 3.4 days in February.

The Met Office is therefore predicting it will be a gray rather than a white Christmas for the UK this year, with mild weather expected to last until Friday, after which conditions are expected to become more unsettled until the final weekend of the year.

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