US military service is the best indicator of perpetration of extremist violence

The two men who carried out apparent terrorist attacks on New Year's Day, killing 15 people by ramming a van into a crowd of New Year's revelers in New Orleans and blowing up a Tesla Cybertruck outside a Trump hotel in Las Vegas both had American military training. according to the Pentagon.

From 1990 to 2010, approximately seven people per year with U.S. military training committed extremist crimes. Since 2011, that number has increased to nearly 45 per year, according to data from a new, first-of-its-kind report shared with The Intercept by Michael Jensen, research director at the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism, or START, at the University of Maryland.

Military service is also the strongest individual predictor of becoming a mass-casualty offender, far surpassing mental health problems, according to a separate study of mass-casualty extremist violence by the researchers.

From 1990 to 2023, 730 people from the U.S. military committed criminal acts motivated by their political, economic, social or religious goals, according to data from the new START report. From 1990 to 2022, successful violent plots involving perpetrators with ties to the U.S. military resulted in 314 deaths and 1,978 injuries, a significant number of which came from the 1995 bombing of the Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City.

In the latest attacks, the FBI identified Shamsud-Din Jabbar, 42, as the man who rammed a van into New Year's Eve revelers on Bourbon Street in New Orleans early Wednesday morning. At least 15 people were killed and 35 others injured.

The U.S. Army said Jabbar served as a human resources specialist and information technology specialist between 2007 and 2020. His service included a deployment to Afghanistan from February 2009 to January 2010. Staff sergeant at the At the end of his service, Jabbar was inspired by the terrorist organization Islamic State, according to a brief speech Wednesday evening by President Joe Biden, who added that in videos posted on social media shortly before the attack, Jabbar had indicated that he wanted to kill. The FBI said it did not believe he was solely responsible for the attack and said the investigation was ongoing.

Authorities are also investigating whether the New Orleans terror attack is linked to the Cybertruck explosion in Las Vegas that killed the attacker, Matthew Livelsberger, and injured seven bystanders. The U.S. Army told The Intercept that Master Sgt. Matthew Alan Livelsberger served in the Active Army from January 2006 to March 2011, then in the National Guard from March 2011 to July 2012, followed by a stint in the Army Reserve from July 2012 to December 2012. The same month, he joined the military, serving as a U.S. Army Special Operations soldier.

Livelsberger was assigned to the U.S. Army Special Operations Command and was still serving in the military, although on approved leave, at the time of his death.

From 1990 to 2022, 170 individuals from the U.S. military planned 144 individual mass-casualty terrorist attacks in the United States, according to a START study using the Profiles of Individual Radicalization in the United States, or PIRUS, database. , which includes information about more information. more than 3,000 subjects who committed extremist crimes in America. These soldiers and veterans represent about a quarter of all individuals who planned mass-casualty extremist attacks during this period, surpassing their representation in the U.S. population.

Jensen and his colleagues found that while service members and veterans are not more likely to radicalize to the point of violence than members of the general public, when service members and veterans become radicalized, they may be more likely to plan or commit acts of violence. mass-victim crimes, thus having a disproportionate impact on public safety.

Researchers also determined that PIRUS subjects with U.S. military training are 2.41 times more likely to be classified as mass casualty offenders than individuals who have not served in the armed forces. This means that U.S. military service is a more reliable indicator of risk of becoming a mass victim offender than mental health problems, being a lone offender, or having a pre-radicalization criminal history.

Most mass casualty offenders with US military training in Piraeus (73.5%) were associated with far-right domestic extremist groups and movements. Approximately 15 percent (24 offenders) were inspired by or linked to foreign Islamist extremist groups, such as Al-Qaeda and its affiliates (9 subjects) or the Islamic State or ISIS (13 subjects).

Law enforcement sources confirmed to local media that Livelsbergers' weaponized Tesla Cybertruck had been rented from Turo, the car-sharing service that was also used in the New Orleans attack. Jabbar also allegedly used the Turo app to rent the Ford electric van used in this attack.

Both Livelsberger and Jabbar spent time at the military base formerly known as Fort Bragg and now called Fort Liberty, a massive military garrison in North Carolina that is home to several Army special operations units. However, it does not appear that their base assignments overlap.

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Fort Liberty, however, is a particularly troubled military base. For example, investigations revealed that 109 soldiers assigned there died in 2020 and 2021. Ninety-six percent of these deaths took place in the United States. Fewer than 20 were due to natural causes. Other soldier deaths, including gruesome or unexplained deaths, homicides and dozens of drug overdoses, could have been avoided.

Seventy-six of the 170 mass casualty offenders (44.7%) in Pirus with military training served in the army. These soldiers and veterans represent more than half (52.4 percent) of all military-affiliated individuals represented in the data, representing the highest ratio of mass casualties to non-mass casualties for any branch military service. In comparison, 32 percent of individuals represented in the data who served in the Marine Corps were mass casualty offenders.

The military is a large organization with all kinds of different people and all kinds of different training and experiences, said Joel A. Dvoskin, a clinical and forensic psychologist and violence expert, who cautioned against jumping to conclusions about the relationship between the army and the army. attacks and the military service records of the attackers. He said data on the relationship between military service and mass casualty attacks should only be used for beneficial purposes, such as easing the transition from military to civilian life.

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