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UK businesses are planning price rises as confidence falls to record low since Truss Budget | economics
More than half of British businesses plan to increase prices in the next three months, research shows Business confidence in the UK has fallen to its lowest level since the turmoil during Liz Truss's term as prime minister.
Of the 4,800 businesses surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), 55% said they expected to increase prices by April. This is an increase from 39% in a similar survey in the second half of last year.
Concerns about upcoming tax rises have grown sharply since the government unveiled a budget in October that relies heavily on business taxes to raise $40 billion in additional revenue, including $25 billion in employer national insurance contributions (NICs).
Prime Minister Rachel Reeves said she saw no alternative given her huge inheritance from the previous Conservative administration and her desire to invest in the NHS and infrastructure, but this sparked a wave of criticism from business groups.
Labor under Keir Starmer has said it is focused on investment to boost GDP growth, but a string of poor economic data suggests economic conditions have not improved in the six months since the party came to power. I was criticized.
The key revenue-raising measure in the Budget was an increase in employer NICs, which affects almost every business, regardless of whether it is profitable or not. A BCC poll found that 63% of businesses cited taxes as a concern after budgeting, compared to 48% three months ago.
Shevaun Haviland, BCC Secretary-General, said: Worrying echoes of the budget are evident in our survey data. As costs and taxes rise, business confidence falls in a pressure cooker.
Businesses of all shapes and sizes say National Insurance increases are particularly damaging. Companies are already cutting back on investments and will likely have to raise prices in the coming months, he said.
BCC said confidence in whether companies expect sales to increase next year has fallen significantly. Decreased from 56% to 49%.
Financial markets expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates significantly this year, although Bank of England policymakers have said inflationary pressures remain on the UK economy.
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Last month, the bank underlined the effectiveness of the budget while tempering expectations for UK economic growth, while also highlighting the outlook for uncertainty surrounding global trade as Donald Trump prepares to begin his second term as US president on January 20. Yes. Economists are wary that higher tariffs on U.S. imports could hamper global growth.
A separate business survey, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), pointed to potential job cuts as companies respond to looming tax increases.
The PMI employment index fell to 45.6, the lowest in four years, and companies also said they were planning to raise prices.
Thomas Pugh, economist at RSM UK, who compiled the survey, said: The combination of weak growth and rising inflation is a nightmare trade-off for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which does not want high interest rates to fall. We need to grow more than we need, but we need to keep inflation in check. We believe MPC is cautious in the face of these trade-offs and will make only one cut this year.
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