Heavy snow and ice are forecast across the southern United States Thursday and Friday

A band of what forecasters are calling heavy snow and disruptive ice is expected to accumulate across the South through the end of the week. From the southern plains of Texas and Oklahoma to the coastal plains of Carolina, much of the winter precipitation is expected to fall in places where people are less accustomed to winter conditions, and it is likely to cause severe weather. dangerous driving, power outages and school closures.

What you need to know

In the southern United States, you don't need huge amounts of snow or ice to disrupt daily life.

More than half a foot of heavy snow is expected to create hazardous travel conditions along and south of Interstate 40 through Oklahoma, Arkansas and Tennessee.

Further south, along and just north of Interstate 20 from Texas to Georgia, snow will likely turn to sleet and freezing rain as warmer air rises above freezing temperatures at the surface.

The region will continue to experience cooler temperatures next week, extending the likelihood of hazardous travel conditions.

By early Thursday morning, snow was already falling across North Texas and Oklahoma as the storm began to take shape in the Gulf of Mexico before moving northeast. The heaviest snow will likely remain in North Texas and Oklahoma. The most likely snowfall in Texas will be between two and four inches, primarily along and north of I-20, in an area that averages less than two inches per season.

Anticipating the potential effects, Dallas schools will be closed Thursday and Friday. Governor Greg Abbott used a press conference Wednesday to warn drivers: be careful. Be careful.

We're not used to driving on ice and snow, he told his fellow Texans. We are not used to driving in such conditions.

As the storm moves through the Gulf of Mexico Thursday into Friday, any slight change in its track could result in different than forecast precipitation in a given area. A slightly more northerly track would move the heaviest snow further north and raise the line of freezing rain and sleet. A more southerly track would have the opposite effect, bringing the deeper snow deeper south and leaving northern areas dry.

Winter precipitation is expected in Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas Thursday evening through Friday. By early Friday morning, it will have increased farther east across Tennessee, northern Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. Although Tennessee is no stranger to winter storms, some areas, like Memphis, could receive their largest two-day snow total in 40 years.

Nashville forecasters reminded residents not to get hung up on precise amounts because any snowfall could make travel in the area dangerous. In Atlanta, it's been nearly 11 years since a small snowstorm, locally called snowmageddon, shut down the city and became the punchline of a Saturday Night Live sketch.

Although snow has fallen in the city since then, it can still surprise people as the type of precipitation changes throughout the day. What is expected to start as snow Friday morning will likely change to sleet and then freezing rain across metro Atlanta, turning untreated roads into ice rinks by the evening.

Across North Carolina, a similar scenario will begin to play out around noon Friday and last into Saturday night. Accumulations of up to two inches are currently expected in the Mid-Atlantic area, east of the Allegheny Mountains.

The storm is then expected to move off the coast, where it will strengthen but stay far enough away to avoid posing a major danger to the Northeast.

Abnormally cold weather across the East Coast is expected to continue into next week, allowing some snow to remain. And where snow has melted during the day, it can refreeze at night, creating ongoing transportation risks.

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