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La Nia is here: here's how it could impact the US this winter
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A La Nia weather pattern is officially here, meteorologists said Thursday, which is linked to weather trends characterized by warmer and drier conditions in most southern states, with increased precipitation and cooler conditions in many states. other regions.
A weather pattern from El Nio, its counterpart in La Nias, caused the warmest winter on record last year.
Anadolu via Getty Images Key Facts
La Nia conditions emerged in December and will likely persist through April, although the phenomenon will likely be weak and have less impact on precipitation and temperature than La Nias in the past, according to the Service's latest projections national weather forecast.
La Nia is a climate pattern marked by cooler than average sea surface temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean and is the opposite of El Nio, which brings warmer than average temperatures.
Due to cooler sea surface temperatures, the jet stream (a current of air flowing from west to east) is pushed northward, reducing the chance of precipitation in the southern United States while increasing the risk of severe flooding in the Pacific Northwest and Canada, according to National. Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
During a winter in La Nia, temperatures are generally above average in the southern states of the United States and cooler than normal in the north, NOAA said.
Although it was likely a weaker event, the National Weather Service said La Nia had already produced wetter conditions in the Pacific Northwest and Great Plains from October to December, in more drier conditions across the East Coast, Southwest, Northeast, and Southern California, and above-average temperatures in the Southwest and Mountain West.
La Nia also brought more snowfall to the Pacific Northwest and Northeast, according to the agency.
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Which regions could face hot and dry conditions this winter?
NOAA expects drier conditions in the Southeast, Southwest, and some states in the Great Plains and Mountain West, including Utah, Nevada, Colorado, Wyoming, New Mexico and Oklahoma, between November and January. Above-average temperatures are also more likely in the Southwest, Southeast, and Mountain West, as well as in Southern California, states along the East Coast, and in the North -east to Maine.
Which regions could face cool, wet weather?
The Pacific Northwest, Midwest and Northeast are expected to experience above-average precipitation, according to NOAA. States at higher risk of increased precipitation between November and January include Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York.
Tangent
Nia may also lead to more severe hurricane seasons in the Atlantic Ocean by expanding the area of low vertical wind shear, which increases the number of hurricanes that develop and allows stronger storms to form.
Surprising fact
Last winter, affected by El Niowa, was the warmest on record in the United States, with temperatures in the lower 48 states measuring 5.4 degrees above average, according to NOAA. Several states recorded their warmest winters on record, NOAA said, including North Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, New York, Vermont and New Hampshire.
Key context
The La Nia and El Nio weather phenomena are created by interactions between ocean surfaces and the Pacific atmosphere, and both occur approximately every three to five years, according to NOAA. Both weather patterns are part of the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a climate phenomenon that results from a change in winds and sea surface temperatures in the Pacific. The agency previously warned that climate change could increase the frequency of extreme El Nio and La Nia events with amplified precipitation and increasingly warm temperatures. The two patterns do not always follow each other, although they do happen. A La Nia that follows an El Nio winter typically results in warmer summers, and the National Weather Service warned earlier this year that La Nia would likely bring record temperatures. The average La Nia lasts about 15.4 months, while El Nio typically lasts 9.5 months, although the longest La Nia on record lasted 37 months between 1973 and 1976.
Further readingForbesNia could bring record heat to the US this summerWhat you need to knowBy Cailey Gleeson
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