A vortex on the Earth, which runs as a polar vortex,

Scientists said the powerful winter storm clusters, which have a big impact on the UK, have been made into a whirlpool of a few mile winds over the Arctic.

Leeds University teams and researchers at MET Office have accurately pointed out the new reasons for the winter storm clusters such as trio called Dudley, Eunice and Franklin.

Today, the results published in the Communications Earth and Environment Journal showed that clusters in the British winter storms were related to the strong winds of the Arctic stratosphere, and researchers believe that it can help to understand when the risk of storm clusters increases for up to a month before the weather forecast.

Dr. Ryan Williams, a senior author of research at Liz University, said: Our study shows that there is a need to better understand the various drivers of the North Atlantic Storm Track, such as the state of the polarity of the stratosphere that can be predicted a few weeks ago.

It is more related to climate change to provide initial warnings for severe weather. This is because there is evidence that the main winter storms will be intense and exacerbate the influence of floods and wind damage. “

In February 2022, in the UK, Ireland, Scandinavia and Germany, there were a few months of stormy, and there were several intense cyclones that rotated a low -pressure weather system that caused strong winds and heavy rain.

For the first time since 2015, the United Kingdom, which started the name of MET Office's iMPACTFUL CYCLONES, has experienced three storms of Dudley, Eunice and Franklin a week. In February 1979, a total of seven storms were traced near England in the fourth highest figures.

Four deaths were reported in the UK and Ireland, and 1 million households were influenced by a few days. STORM EUNICE, which influenced the United Kingdom on February 18, 2022, was depicted as an event for 10 years and was described as the most serious of 122 miles of British, recorded on the needle of Wight Island, since 2014.

In February 2022, it is also a very strong stratosphere polar vortex, and is a cold mass that rotates in about 15 miles in the Arctic, which is prominent during the winter.

Researchers wanted to understand the role of a strong stratosphere polar vortex (SPV) when causing the risk of storms. They compared the seasonal predictions in January 2022, which showed an abnormally strong state of polar vortex, which would be close to average intensity. In this contrast prediction, investigating the characteristics of the British storm could be identified.

They concluded that strong SPVs were up to three times more likely to have intense storms affecting the UK and Northern Europe in February 2022.

JEFF KNIGHT, the chief science of 10 years of scripture forecast at the MET Office in the UK, has long understood that the Arctic stratosphere can affect the type of winter we get from the UK, but this result shows that it can affect the development of storm spells within the season.

Intense stratosphere polarization can now be recognized as a warning to an increasing risk of storms. This was the most recent winter at the end of January in the end of January.

Their results also shows that the powerful SPV at that time increased the possibility of three or more storms in the UK a week compared to the normal SPV.

Definitely, researchers say that a signal for a powerful SPV was clear from the predictions in early November 2021, and if these conditions were found, they could provide an opportunity to strengthen European predictions.

Professor Amanda Maycock at the Global Environment School, which led the project, added: The storm condition and strong stratosphere polar vortex in February 2022 are similar to what happened in February 2020 and other periods as we saw earlier this year. In the future, we need to investigate the connection we found for other winters.

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