As a result of a new modeling designed to identify adults at higher risk from Covid-19, nearly 2 million people in the UK will receive protective measures and 800,000 will be given priority immunizations. Unlike previous approaches, a new tool developed by Oxford University takes into account a combination of risk factors including race and low income. The risk factors considered are:
According to an official survey launched last year, the mortality rate of black and Asian people in the UK was higher than in any other group. According to the UK Public Health Review, people from Bangladesh have the highest risk of dying from COVID-19, which is a key factor in the decision to shield, while people from black backgrounds are most likely to be diagnosed.
Under the new regime, various ethnic groups are ranked in order of risk, and nine categories are now considered. Among the races that included black Africans and the Caribbean were the highest risk, followed by Indians, Bangladeshi, and Pakistani in fourth, fifth and sixth places, followed by Chinese and white people. The 2nd and 3rd places are the broader other racial and other Asian groups.
Researchers will use Townsend deprivation scores based on zip codes to give an idea of economic deprivation. According to an article in the British Medical Journal about research on the new method, this includes considerations such as unemployment and non-car ownership, non-home ownership, and overcrowding of households.
According to a study by the Health Foundation published in December of last year, overcrowded housing in the UK may have increased the number of deaths.
Body mass index
BMI will still be considered as obesity has been shown to be a key factor in determining the risk of death for an infected person. A global study in August last year found that obesity can increase your risk of death by almost 50%. The findings, which the lead researchers described as scary, show that the risk of obese patients is greater than previously thought.
Older people are always at greater risk, but age has been identified as a major determinant. According to last year’s ONS data, age was the most important, and as of June 11, 2020, 88% of those who died in England and Wales were 65 or older.
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