Experts say that the COVID data’looks promising’, but the risk is’mitigated too quickly’.
Professor Neil Ferguson, senior scientific advisor at Imperial College London, said data on vaccine effectiveness and how quickly infections, deaths and hospital cases are declining are “looking promising for now.”
He told BBC Radio 4’s Today program: “The trade-off we have is between how quickly we can relax and how quickly we can immunize and protect people.
“Keeping in mind that vaccines are not a panacea and no vaccines provide complete protection, it is still dangerous to rest too quickly when the population’s immunity is not enough.”
“The downside of taking a greater risk is the risk of having to be locked up again, which is far more devastating economically and socially,” he said.
He added: “I think I’m going to take a prudent approach and I’m going to take a gradual approach. That is, it’s good to relax one thing, see what the impact is and then relax again. And still, by the end of May, we can. I am in a very different country from now.”
He said this meant the rules would still be in place. But I think society is much more normal.
But he said it depends on what is going on as hoped and what the current data suggest.
“There are threats out there. We don’t know how effective the vaccine is, how long the immunity will last, the threat of strains, for example. So we have to move with the data and trends we see.”
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