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Increasing infections in the UK: what do the latest numbers mean? | World News
Whether the daily increase in coronavirus test positives in the UK reached 1,715 new cases, the highest on Sunday since June 4, and whether this is a true increase in infections, Find out what it means.
Are cases really increasing?
A quick look at the UK coronavirus test positives shows a clear upward trend since early July. On July 5, 516 new cases were reported, with an average of just over 546 per day on 7 days, while on August 26 1,048 cases were reported with an average of 7 days of 1 The number exceeds 1,164 per day.
Some people say that this rise is mainly Number of people being tested.. In fact, 126,100 tests were processed on July 5, compared to 186,500 on August 26. But the analysis of the figure shows that this only partially explains the rise.
As Professor Paul Hunter of East Anglia University points out, the proportion of tests that test positive (positive rate) seems to be rising. During the first 7 days of July, 232 tests were carried out on all reported positive cases, and in mid-August only about 164 tests were carried out on all positive cases. ..
According to experts, infectious diseases are really increasing. The conclusion suggesting an increase in the proportion of the Statistics Bureau is the National Bureau of Statistics. Test positive in July – Again, this rise seems to have leveled off.
But experts say Sunday numbers should be watched carefully. While 1,406 new cases were reported on Monday, they say they will need data for the next few days to account for the number of new infections.
What about death?
Infectious diseases may be increasing, but coronavirus mortality remains low. Daily numbers of UK deaths within 28 days of a positive test have not reached more than 20 since 21 July.
According to experts Many possible explanations This includes increased use of dexamethasone, a life-saving drug, whose infections now seem to be more common among adolescents-age is a more serious risk factor for Covid-19.
It is not yet clear if other factors, such as reduced lethality of the virus, will also play a role.
Why are infections increasing?
Experts say the number of incidents is expected to increase as blockade restrictions are eased. In the UK, regulations have been gradually relaxed since mid-May, social “bubbles” have been recognized since mid-June, and pubs and restaurants have been reopened since early July.
“The important thing we have to do is balance so people can return to normal [while] Keep control of the transmission.” Professor Neil Ferguson, Epidemiologist at Imperial College London..
As I mentioned earlier, that means local restrictions, Lester And Oldham – Occurrences could occur and could work in more areas.
How Worry Should We Be?
The rise in positive rates since July has raised concerns about further relaxation of the blockade. Encourage employees to return to work..
Christina Pagel, professor of operations research at University College London, said one of the concerns was that few offices had open windows and many shared elevators and bathrooms. It is possible.
Ferguson added that the crucial moment was the opening of the school, which could lead to a rapid increase in coronavirus cases.
Ferguson said he didn’t want to be vigilant, but there was no room for self-satisfaction. “We need to see testing, tracking, and responding to outbreaks at work and school,” he said.
Prof. Rowland Kao, an epidemiologist at the University of Edinburgh, warned and agreed that a “spark” of coronavirus could be expected. “How you respond is important,” he said.
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