Donald Trump embraces the world forts

While President Donald Trump is testing democratic standards of the United States and weakens Washingtons' commitment to longtime allies, potential autocrats around the world have taken heart.

Whether it is the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus, a more aggressive offensive in Gaza, President Recep Tayyip Erdoans Knecage Junius of his main rival, or the President of the Indonesians and the Prabowo Subdianto Retirement Army scraping the border between civil and military regions, strong men feel enharmed, according to many academics and experts in foreign policy.

The United States crossing the line in the autocratic camp is a devastating blow for global governance, said Nicholas Beclin, principal researcher at Yale Law Schools Paul Tsai China Center, adding that Trump had a clear preference for the rule of strong men on democratic surveillance.

The actors think that I could probably get out of it with what I could not go away before, said Belin. This encourages more adventurism from large and small countries.

Aye Zarakol, professor of international relations at the University of Cambridge, said that the lower international brakes on bad behavior was an arrest factor of Ekrem Mamolu, the mayor of Istanbul and the most serious challenger in Erdoan for more than 20 years that he has ruled Turkey.

This month, Mamolu was placed in custody of corruption that he and his supporters, who flocked in the streets in their tens of thousands, were politically motivated.

Erdoan has been on this trip for a long time, said Zarakol, who writes a book on the history of charismatic leaders of strong men. But with Trump in power, he concluded that he no longer needed to pretend, she said. He doesn't copy Trump. He wanted to do this anyway. But he saw it as a good time.

The American special envoy, Steve Witkoff, said that there were many good positive news out of Turkey at the moment despite mass demonstrations against the arrest of the main rival of Turkish presidents Yasin Akgul / AFP / Getty

Previous American administrations have often condemned the abuses perceived of power in other countries, but the American response to the arrest of Mamolus was attenuated.

The State Department initially described it as an internal affair for Turkey, although he said later that Marco Rubio, secretary of state, had expressed his concerns concerning arrests and recent demonstrations. However, following the repression, Steve Witkoff, a special American envoy to the Middle East, gave a brilliant report of a conversation this month between Donald Trump and Erdoan. There are just a lot of good positive news out of Turkey right now, he said.

Such a language gave aid to the autocrats, said Mark Malloch-Brown, former deputy secretary general of the United Nations. The leaders feel that they no longer need to look over their shoulders in the United States, that there has been a complete change in the moral tone, he said, adding that Netanyahus was the repression of independent institutions, in particular by dismissing the head of the intelligence agency which was investigating, echoing the narrative Trumps to fight the deep state.

Many in the developing world have long accused the United States of hypocrisy, supporting allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia through thick and thin and reserving what a official called his finger for Washington countries.

Trump, however, has rarely been shy as to his appreciation for strong men, warmly speaking of Vladimir Putin, an autocratic leader of Russia, and joking during his first mandate on Chinas Xi Jinping: HES now president for life … I think it's great. Maybe I have to give a shot one day.

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In Africa, where the institutional constraints on leaders are often fragile, many politicians have praised the style of Leadership Trumps, which they consider more honest in its non -disguised transactionalism. President Paul Kagame, who dominated Rwandan policy for three decades, said last month that he appreciated the means of doing completely unconventional to do and agreed with him on many things.

Kagame chose the days that followed the inauguration of Trump in January, when the American president boasted of taking control of Greenland and even Canada, to intensify the Rwandas furtive invasion of the Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. In January and February, the M23 rebels supported by Rwandan captured Goma and then Bukavu, the capitals of two important provinces in Dr. Congo.

Kagame felt that he was on a leash and could do what he liked, although he was always someone who questioned Western standards, said Malloch-Brown.

A characteristic of transactional foreign relations, said experts, was that they were unpredictable. In the case of Rwandas, Washington has rejected, sanctioning James Kabarebe, Minister of State for Regional Integration, that he has accused of orchestrating the support of Rwandas to M23. Trump officials also organized exploratory discussions on a mineral security agreement with Dr. Congo, opponent of Rwandas.

The M23 rebels supported by Rwandans embarked on Goma after the city was captured Arlette Bashizi / Reuters

Comfort Ero, president and chief executive officer of Crisis Group, a non -profit organization, warned the idea that the leaders were inspired by Washington. Kagames' plans for eastern Congo were in preparation for a long time and had nothing to do with Trump, she said.

Managers such as Indias Narendra Modi and Turkeys Erdoan preceded what was going on in the United States, said Ero. What is more interesting is that the United States in the past 15 years has come to look more like some of these countries and not, on the other hand.

Alastair Fraser, lecturer in African politics in Soas in London, agreed that Trump was as much the symptom of a global democratic drift as a driving force. In its 2024 report, Freedom House, a non -profit organization based in Washington, noted that democracy has been eroding for 18 consecutive years, with the four -fifths of the population of the world living now in countries that were not free or partly free.

Trump has only accelerated a trend that has been visible for some time, said Fraser.

The disaffection to globalization that had helped to have Trump elected for the first time in 2016 had taken root in Africa before that, said Fraser. Managers such as South Afrass Jacob Zuma had channeled disaffection with economic marginalization in a policy built around personality, allowing him to launch an attack on public institutions such as the prosecutors' office and tax authorities.

In some directions, African policy has arrived first, said Fraser. It is possible that what saw now was an Africanization of Western politics.

Dele Olojede, founder of the Africa in the World Festival and winner of the Pulitzer Prize, said the United States has always set the tone for the world. Even if, in the past, Washington is often not up to his own declared ideals, his defense of democracy and human rights had helped to restrict bad behavior and encourage those who fight for civil freedoms, he said.

These principles are now torn rather negligently by people without attention who do not understand the majesty of this aspiration, not only for America but for all humans, he said.

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The President of Nigeriaes, Bola Tinubu, suspended the governor last week and all the legislators for six months in the state rich in oil in the state of what Olojede said it was a clear example of overtaking executives.

In the past, he said, they would have looked over their shoulder to see what the United States Embassy in Abuja would say if there will be sanctions [or] If people will be sitting next to them at dinner. Now let's go.

Other autocratic leaders have openly celebrated the occasional attitude of Trumps to democratic controls and counterweights. When an US federal judge last week has unaccompanied the return of thefts by taking the so -called members of Venezuelan gangs to Salvador, Nayib Bukele, the Salvado chief, made fun of the American courts, displaying on X: Oopsia. Too late, accompanied by a laughing emoji.

Bukele, which was re -elected by a landslide last year, ordered the police and military forces to make massive arrests of alleged gang members who, according to human rights groups, have trampled on a regular procedure. A video that Bukele published last week of hundreds of venezed venezuelans entered a Salvadoral prison was republished by Rubio and Elon Musk, who thanked the president of El Salvadors for his actions.

An alleged member of a Venezuelan gang is taken to a prison in El Salvador in the images of the presidency El Salvadors / AFP / Getty Images

Zarakol, the Cambridge Academic writing a book on Strongmen, said: what is happening in the United States seems familiar to us, except that in Türkiye, this has gradually occurred over 20 years. In Trumps, the second mandate, this siphon of the authority of other institutions occurs very quickly.

The Americans, Zarakol said, could paradoxically less alert to a drift towards authoritarianism than the inhabitants of Turkey and other countries where civil society had to be constantly vigilant against the abuse of power.

Becquelin to Yale said that many people in the West had exerted too much confidence in democratic institutions and standards. The natural severity of the political system is towards authoritarianism, and democracy is almost an aberration, he said.

The struggle to preserve the rule of international law had gradually become more difficult, said Beltin, as non -democratic states such as China had become more powerful. Trumps evolve towards a more transactional style of foreign diplomacy has accelerated a tendency to divide the world into spheres of influence where the so-called major powers such as Russia and China have exerted greater influence, he said.

I am not saying because we have Trump, China will invaded Taiwan, he said, adding that there were many other factors in Beijing calculations. But is it a more favorable environment? Yes.

Visualization of data by Alan Smith

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