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Observer: Jokowi’s political activities have the potential to change the competition map for the 2029 presidential election

Observer: Jokowi’s political activities have the potential to change the competition map for the 2029 presidential election


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JAKARTA (kabarpublik.id) – Algebra Strategic Indonesia Executive Director Arifki Chaniago believes that the increasingly intensive activities of the 7th President of the Republic of Indonesia, Joko Widodo, in various regions constitute a political dynamic that deserves attention ahead of the 2029 Presidential Election (Pilpres).

According to Arifki, after the abolition of the presidential threshold, any personality with strong electoral influence will be increasingly taken into account by political parties in the formulation of their political strategies.

“Jokowi’s movements will be interpreted as a political signal by all elites. Whatever program he pursues, Jokowi’s political influence remains an important variable in the calculations until 2029,” Arifki said on Tuesday (1/7/26).

He believes that if Jokowi’s political influence is maintained, Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s negotiating position in various scenarios for the 2029 presidential election may also become stronger. According to him, these conditions mean that a number of national figures must start strategizing early.

“Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY), Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin), Zulkifli Hasan (Zulhas) and other national figures must take advantage of this dynamic. In politics, parties that advance earlier generally have a greater opportunity to strengthen public perception,” he said.

Arifki also believes that it is natural for the PDI Perjuangan to seriously examine the intensity of Jokowi’s political activities. Because the greater Jokowi’s influence, the greater the potential for changes in the coalition configuration and political parties’ negotiating positions ahead of the 2029 presidential election.

“Jokowi’s move can not only strengthen Gibran’s negotiating position, but also has the potential to change the national political balance. Therefore, each party will take this development very seriously,” he explained.

In addition, Arifki noted that political dynamics were beginning to emerge within the parties that were part of the government coalition. Even though they are still in the same political ranks, each party is seen as beginning to prepare its interests and strategies for the 2029 contest.

“They are still one coalition, but the political interests for 2029 are starting to be expressed independently. It’s like we are in the same house, but with different goals,” he said.

According to Arifki, politics is essentially determined by bargaining dynamics and power. Therefore, when the influence of a political actor increases, other actors will adjust their political strategies.

“The public will increasingly witness various political maneuvers by party chairmen and national figures in the context of consolidation and preparations for the 2029 presidential election,” he concluded.

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://kabarpublik.id/pengamat-aktivitas-politik-jokowi-berpotensi-ubah-peta-persaingan-pilpres-2029/2026/07/01/

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