West Coast residents brace for major earthquake in the Alps | 1 news

Community meetings are being held across the West Coast to help residents prepare for a violent earthquake.

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The Alpine Fault that descends on the South Island is expected to erupt in the next 50 years. Source: 1 NEWS

The Alpine Fault that descends on the South Island is expected to erupt in the next 50 years.

The calm Southern Alps of the South Island are the result of violent earthquakes caused by the fault, and there is a 75 percent chance that they will shake again soon.

“Recent science suggests that we’re going to have a major earthquake, potentially a magnitude 8, and we could see that within the next 50 years,” says Alistair Davies of the Earthquake Commission.

The last major earthquake to hit the Alpine Fault was in 1717. In the last 18,000 years, it has ruptured 27 times – every 300 years on average.

When the 800-kilometre fault line rebounds again, it is expected to cause extensive damage.

“It’s clear that the Alpine Fault will have a significant impact across the infrastructure of the West Coast, if not other parts of the South Island,” says Claire Brown, director of emergency and natural hazards management at West Coast Regional Council.

Electricity can go out and access to water, food and medicine can be difficult.

“The west coast is likely to be isolated from large landslides that are likely to follow an alpine fault earthquake,” Davies says.

AF8 Program Leader Alice Lake Hammond says the main message of the community meetings is “Don’t be complacent.”

“We’re talking about being prepared to take care of yourself for at least one to two weeks,” she said.

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