Turkey considers itself a protection of the former Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan. The populations of the two countries show ethnic and linguistic similarities. After the independence of the small State on the Caspian Sea in 1991, the doctrine of “two States, one Nation imposed itself, so quickly”. Baku and Ankara must underline their bilateral relations with this slogan.
Since the mid-90s, Azerbaijan to the other device on a regular basis with the Armenian army. The clashes range from border skirmishes to massive wars. The bone of contention in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, is primarily, for Armenia, but an independent state. The Armenians have controlled the land since 1994, a military conflict had disappeared.
On July 12 in the province of Tavush, in northern Armenia, a bloody clash between the two actors. According to official figures, 17 people were killed, mostly soldiers. Both countries are blaming the other side. Events are displayed in different ways.
Ankara rushes for help
Ankara used to reflexively side with its Azerbaijani protege. There is a sharp rhetoric from Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar, Armenia was solely responsible for the incident was followed by: “The pain of the Azerbaijani Turks is also our pain”. Armenia will pay for it, Akar said. Already in a four-day combat action in 2016, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced his support for Azerbaijan’s case “to the end”.
This time he left that the Turkish government did not make noise: how the Turkish news agency Anadolu reported, would be carried out in allied countries from August 1 to 10, in joint military exercises in Baku, and in Nagorno. Karabakh. In addition, the air force of the two countries samples joint combat actions. According to the Turkish News Agency, Anadolu helicopters from the Turkish Air Force have already landed and have been received.
A danger to stability and security
Insight Center for Data Analytics think tank director Anna Karapetyan is organizing the next military exercise for a devastating signal. “It is evident that after the recent clashes in Tavush – which were sparked by Azerbaijan and unprecedented aggressive rhetoric from Turkey, a military exercise will not contribute to more security and stability in the region,” says the political scientist. “Turkey is a destructive factor in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.” Turkey’s military support should be understood as a threat to Armenia and should be punished by the international community, Karapetyan said.
Hakki Casin of Istanbul-based Yeditepe University, however, is in favor of the joint military exercise. “This is a very important exercise, on land and air units, and specialized units to participate. (…) With military power, Turkey is trying to ensure peace and stability in the region”, l expert in international relations.
Casin recalls that stability in the Caucasus, but also economic interests depended. “Azerbaijan is rich in natural resources, billions of cubic meters of natural gas will be transported from there every year to Europe.” Turkey’s commitment will get used to Europeans. Ankara wants it. Secure Gasschatz
Ankara also has economic reasons for the small country of the Caspian Sea: together with Georgia, Azerbaijan is an important energy corridor for Turkey The TRANS-Anatolian pipeline, which has only been in service for two years, the TRANS-pipeline Caucasian and South Caucasian Pipeline crossing the two countries. Each of these pipelines, natural gas from the Caspian Sea flows into the gas distribution network in Turkey. Azerbaijan has in recent years become one of Turkey’s main energy suppliers.
This is mainly due to the fact that Ankara is increasingly seeking to reduce its energy dependence on Russian gas. So far, Turkey receives natural gas mainly from Russia, transported in the “Blue Stream” pipeline across the Black Sea to Turkey. The new Turkish Stream pipeline, which opened at the start of this year, has almost doubled the capacity of the old tube.
Once again, Ankara and Moscow are on their feet
This was obviously Ankara’s strategic mistake: whether in the Libyan civil war or in the conflict in Syria’s northwestern Idlib region, Ankara and Moscow’s positions could not be more different. . And also the Azerbaijani-Armenian conflict, the interests of the two regional powers on the cross are.
The one in Ankara in the Region plays more and more like the patron saint of Azerbaijan, is looked at by the Kremlin with the eyes of Argus. Turkish expert on Russia Kerim Has from Moscow is nevertheless that on August 1, the start of military exercises, tensions between Ankara and Moscow may be the cause. This could change after View A, however, soon: “Signs that the Turkish government would like to build a military base in Azerbaijan permanently.” This would then bring a serious potential for conflict between Ankara and Moscow with.
the reason for the skeptical attitude of the Russian government towards Ankara’s hegemonic aspirations is also Moscow, in the shopping region. Russian energy companies like Gazprom in the gas supply of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh in a monopoly position. Not only that, but Russia sees itself as a protecting power in Armenia, Azerbaijan’s sworn enemy. Since 1995, Russian forces have maintained a military base, just 15 kilometers from the Turkish border.
author: Daniel Derya Bellut, Deger Akal, Hilal Kyl
* The post “The great Turkish ambitions: Erdogan, the producer of lights in the South Caucasus” published by Deutsche Welle. Contact the leaders here.
Update date: July 31, 2020, 4:27 PM
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