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School opened in the UK without more testing risk


Adam Vaughn

This elementary school in Wales has taken steps to keep social distance

Chris Fairweather / Hue Evans / Shutter Stock

The UK will face a second corona virus infection if the national testing and contact tracking system does not improve until schools are fully resumed this winter and people return to work, researchers warn.

Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths of University College London (UCL) and her colleagues found that the UK experienced a second peak in December and is at risk of more than double the first size. Her team modeled the amount of testing and tracking needed to stop virus rebound as society relaxed restrictions.

If all the children in the UK return to school by the beginning of September as currently planned, and nearly three-quarters return to work, the state should test 75% of 19 symptomatic nose beads. Researchers have found the spread of the virus. The current rate is 50%. Tracked contact rates should now increase from about 50% to 68%.

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UCL’s Russell Viner said he conducted the research at the team’s press conference. A new scientist contacted the UK Department of Health and Social Services to get an answer.

While many countries around the world are preparing to resume school in September, some schools like Scotland will do so in a few days, so more questions about the role of the virus-transmitting child come to the analysis.

Initial studies have been inconclusive, but indicate that the risk of children catching covid-19 at school may be lower than initially feared. Astudy, released on Monday, showed a low incidence of epidemics in 15 schools and 10 preschool kindergartens in New South Wales, Australia. Only 3 schools and 1 center saw secondary virus transmission. “Transfers in an educational environment can be low and manageable. The team led by Kristine Macartney of the University of Sydney says.

Panovska-Griffiths said there was little difference in the results of the model, regardless of the percentage of children estimated to be able to transmit the virus to adults by 50% or 100%.

We have stronger evidence that children play a very limited role in transmission,” Viner said. “They transmit this virus and can cause it in school. [But] According to research such as this New South Wales thesis, there is little evidence that elicits an important element in schools.

He said that most of the illnesses in school seem to be caused by school staff rather than children.

On July 31, the UK’s chief medical officer, Chris Whitty, debated the resumption of school after new data announced on July 31 that Britain had reached the limits or limits we could in terms of social openness. I came back.” He said it would require a difficult compromise on restrictions.

One of the government’s scientific advisers, Graham Medley of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), said it could mean closing the bar so the school can reopen.

Chris Bonell of LSHTM, which participated in a modeling study in the UK, found the results of this study to find out what it takes to resume school. School must return absolutely in September. It is important for the economy and education and welfare of children. He said he was the most important of all resumptions.

President Donald Trump, who has the highest daily infection rate in the world, has called for school to resume, but state officials are wrestling with whether they can do it safely.

Journal Reference: Lancet Child and Youth Health, DOI: 10.1016 / S2352-4642 (20) 30250-9

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