Preparing for major earthquakes in Dhaka | Do not neglect the threat of a major earthquake

We are concerned about the lack of preparedness of relevant government agencies for a major earthquake in Dhaka, despite warnings that it is one of the most dangerous cities in the world. According to the Earthquake Disaster Risk Index, Dhaka tops the list of the 20 most vulnerable cities in the world. Two recent earthquakes within a week have raised concerns about whether we take this threat seriously. Fortunately, neither the January 3 earthquake, which originated in Myanmar, nor the January 7 earthquake that struck Tibet (magnitude 7.1) directly affected Dhaka. However, researchers point out that a major earthquake could hit the city at any moment. We have no time to remain unprepared for this horrific possibility.

Research highlights that the Indo-Burmese subduction zone, which includes Sylhet and Chattogram, is accumulating stresses capable of generating a major seismic event of up to magnitude 8, which is worrying. In addition, the Daoqi Fault is another very active seismic zone. Over the past decade, the region has witnessed 550 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or higher. Experts warn that these small tremors may be a precursor to a larger earthquake that could destroy Dhaka.

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Unfortunately, although we have experienced minor tremors over the years, our response has been minimal. Naturally, heavy urbanization and unenforced building codes leave Dhaka at high risk of catastrophic damage in the event of a major earthquake. Its geological location, combined with human and economic factors, exacerbates this vulnerability. According to a recent study by Rajuk, a 6.9-magnitude earthquake, along the Madhopur fault line near Dhaka, could demolish about 865,000 buildings. If such an event occurred during the day, about 210,000 people could die, and another 229,000 would be injured. The financial loss would also be enormous, estimated at $25 billion, in addition to an additional $44 billion needed to rebuild.

Therefore, the government must take decisive action to mitigate these risks. Immediate steps should include widespread awareness-raising campaigns, regular earthquake drills, education of children in disaster situations, training of volunteers, and coordination between government and non-government agencies for rescue operations. In the long term, it is crucial to strictly enforce the National Building Code and demolish dangerous buildings. Given Dhaka's increasing vulnerability, we can no longer remain inactive or inactive.

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