Seismic activity is expected to decline after earthquakes

Christodoulos Hadjigeorgiou, Director of the Geological Survey Department, said on Thursday that seismic activity in and around Cyprus is “expected to decline” after the two strong earthquakes that struck near Paphos on Wednesday.

He described Wednesday's earthquakes as “severe” and “unprecedented” while speaking to the Cyprus News Agency, and compared them to the two deadly earthquakes that struck southeastern Türkiye in 2023.

He added that after the two earthquakes, “there was more moderate seismic activity until 9.30 pm on Wednesday, while two new earthquakes were recorded on Thursday morning in the wider region.”

He added that the Geological Survey Department is “on alert” and “monitoring seismic activity,” and said that while “seismic activity in the area is expected to decline,” people should “be vigilant and react calmly, not panic.”

The first earthquake occurred shortly after 11:30 a.m. on Wednesday, and its magnitude reached 5.3 on the Richter scale, and its epicenter was in the village of Agia Marina in the Paphos region.

Although no major structural damage was recorded, people were seen exiting office buildings and homes as a precaution in the aftermath of the quake, with Hagia Marina Mukhtar Marius Stylianou confirming that the village at the epicenter of the quake escaped unharmed, and that its elderly residents were “fine.”

The second earthquake also measured 5.3 on the Richter scale and occurred shortly after 4.30pm.

Hadjigeorgiou said on Wednesday that the second major quake was “slightly weaker” than the first, although he stressed that there had been a “series” of smaller tremors throughout the day, and that this phenomenon “needs to be studied.”

According to the Euro-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, more than 30 tremors were detected in Cyprus throughout Wednesday, two of which had a magnitude between four and five on the Richter scale.

While the quakes were felt across the island, civil defense spokesman Panayiotis Iasidis confirmed during an appearance on Alpha TV that “there were no reports of serious damage or injuries,” and that there had been “small landslides but nothing serious.”

Meanwhile, the head of Greece's Earthquake Planning and Protection Organization, Efthymios Lekkas, urged caution in the next 48 hours “because the nature of the faults is not always known.”

He said: “We know that rifts exist and intersect with terrestrial space, but we do not know what rifts exist in underwater space and how these rifts relate to each other.”

He also said that the African and Anatolian tectonic plate boundaries and the “Cyprus Arc,” a curved plate boundary to the south of the island where the African plate dips beneath the Anatolian plate, “could cause a significant earthquake,” potentially as high as eight on the Richter scale.

“According to historical data, we may have an earthquake with a magnitude of eight on the Richter scale, but this is a very extreme case. In 365 AD, an earthquake with a magnitude of eight occurred in Kourion, near Limassol, which completely destroyed southern Cyprus,” he said.

However, he said smaller earthquakes were likely, as the 1996 Paphos earthquake, which measured 6.8 on the Richter scale, seemed likely to be repeated.

In the 1996 earthquake, two people were killed by secondary causes, while in an earthquake of similar magnitude – 6.6 – in 2022, a total of 1,586 chickens died in the village of Kalypia in the Paphos region after panic among the flock led to a stampede.

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