A study shows that a devastating earthquake in Israel is imminent

A recent study conducted at the bottom of the Dead Sea revealed that a devastating earthquake measuring 6.5 on the Richter scale is expected to hit our region in the coming years.

The study, conducted by researchers from Tel Aviv University and published in Science Advances, revealed that earthquakes of such magnitude tend to strike the region about once every 130 to 150 years, although a smaller gap of just a few decades is possible.

A building destroyed by the devastating earthquake that struck Israel in 1927

(Photo: Haifa University)

The last earthquake of 6.5 magnitude struck the Dead Sea region in 1927 – as a result, hundreds of people were injured in the Jordanian capital Amman, Jerusalem, Bethlehem, and even in Jaffa.

According to the study – which reviewed about 220,000 years of Dead Sea geology through drilling and studying the sea floor – another such earthquake in the region is imminent, and is expected to strike in the next few decades.

The research was led by Professor Shmuel Marco, President of the Porter School of Environmental and Earth Sciences at Tel Aviv University and colleagues – Dr. Yin Lu of Tel Aviv University, and Professor Amutz Agnon of the Institute of Earth Sciences, Dr. Nicholas Waldman from the University of Haifa, Dr. Nadav Witzler from the Israel Geological Survey, and Dr. Glenn Biasi from the United States Geological Survey.

A research drilling station in the Dead Sea

(Photo: Tel Aviv University)

“According to the latest earthquake, which is our best indicator, about 250 people were killed in Jerusalem, Bethlehem, Amman and Jericho,” says Professor Marco.

“So if we compare it to the number of people who live in these cities today, after 100 years, the population has increased by 2-3 times. This means that the number of victims will be two to three times, not to mention the massive damage to the infrastructure and property.”

The study also showed that earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.5 hit the Dead Sea every 1,300 to 1,400 years instead of every 10,000 years on average as previously thought.

A building destroyed by the devastating earthquake that struck Israel in 1927

(Photo: Haifa University)

Researchers estimate that the last earthquake of such magnitude struck our region in the year 1033 – that is, nearly a thousand years ago, which means that such a large earthquake is expected to hit the region in the next few centuries.

Professor Marco said: ‘I do not wish to instil fear, but we are living in a tectonically active period.’

“The geological record does not lie and a big earthquake will come in Israel. Of course, we have no way to predict exactly when the ground under our feet will shake – this is a statistical projection … it could happen in ten years or in several decades but it could also happen in the next week and it should To prepare for that. “

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