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Dan Held from Kraken explains why Bitcoin in the early days of a Super Cycle could be down to $ 1,000,000

Dan Held from Kraken explains why Bitcoin in the early days of a Super Cycle could be down to $ 1,000,000


Dan Heald, Kraken Growth Leader, explains why he thinks Bitcoin’s current bull run could be part of a super cycle for the cryptocurrency to hit $ 1 million.

In a recent video, the crypto veteran analyzes Bitcoin’s success and fast price estimation.

Held notes that Bitcoin’s founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, originally believed that the speculative nature of Bitcoin would be the main feature that would help it grow. Held quotes Satoshi and likens the view of the creator to seeing a traditional marketing phenomenon known as the “viral feedback loop” in which content derives value from the number of people interested in it.

“I feel like a lot of people are looking at the market and they are going,” Well, Bitcoin would only have a typical cycle. “I think there are a lot of different reasons why this doesn’t happen … Satoshi is actually assuming that speculation will lead to the creation and adoption of Bitcoin …

For example, Satoshi says, “As the number of users increases, the value of each coin increases. It has the potential for positive feedback loop; as the users increase, the value goes up, which may attract more users to take advantage of the increased value. This was written before it was equal to. Bitcoin even a penny … we can see that over time. Dotted lines of halving events and we see speculative bubbles occurring and these we assume are caused by reduced supply and increased demand …

In the traditional sense of marketing, this is called a viral feedback loop … a viral feedback loop is [when] Someone has discovered a piece of content, suppose you watch a funny video of dogs linked to a website, and you go to the website to try it, find value there and then share it with your friends …

Satoshi understood this and he brought this to the money. He understood that he could create a price viral feedback loop alone. As the price goes up, people become more aware of it, and then others buy it with the expectation of the price going up and tell their friends. ”

The former Uber CEO says the Covid-19 pandemic has provided the perfect overall conditions for Bitcoin to show its value.

“What is really unique about this course, and I’ve been present in all the others … This course is completely different. It had never before had such strong fundamentals on a macro background that highlight exactly why it was needed …

We have never seen Dutch GDP ratios like this before. We’ve never seen inflation this high before. It really is unprecedented. This is the thing that’s so interesting that people don’t think they need Bitcoin until this moment happens when you take them out of their reality and go, “Oh, I got why Bitcoin is so valuable.” Just like getting earthquake insurance. Most people don’t think of getting earthquake insurance until the earthquake strikes … and Bitcoin is just like that, it is money-back insurance, government devaluation and lack of confidence in banks. “

Held says that institutions are finally realizing the value of Bitcoin as it enters the market, setting the stage for a super cycle.

“So Covid brought Bitcoin’s focus and value and made it really clear to the world. Because of that, a new participant entered, the institutions… Post-Covid institutions were looking for a safe store of value. You have $ 18 trillion in negative-yielding sovereign debt and Bitcoin offers more value than gold. … these institutions manage more than $ 100 trillion …

What will happen in 2021 and 2022 when you can buy bitcoin everywhere: every bank, every broker. All that pent-up buying and demand for Bitcoin is pouring into the market. So you get institutions and retailers who will be pouring trillions of dollars into Bitcoin over the next two years. So I think this is a miraculous cycle. What happens when Bitcoin ownership shifts from 0.01% of the world to 1%? 100-fold increase. The price will move much more. “

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