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Coronavirus has already reduced life expectancy in two years

 


Studies show that pandemics have reduced life expectancy for men and women by nearly two years.

Shocking numbers reverse the tendency of those who live longer than their parents and grandparents.

Life expectancy in England and Wales has been steadily improving for the past 50 years before it stagnated in the last 10 years.

The latest figures reveal that a coronavirus pandemic reduced life expectancy by about two years

However, the Coronavirus crisis, which killed nearly 54,000 people, has returned to 2008 levels, Oxford University experts say.

Even this may underestimate Covid-19’s actual victimization of public health. Undiagnosed coronavirus may be responsible for many of the over-deaths seen in the first half of this year due to diseases and conditions such as Alzheimer’s disease, stroke, diabetes, asthma, influenza and pneumonia.

Covid-19 reduced life expectancy for women from 83.5 years in 2019 to 81.8 years for women born in the first half of 2020 and from 79.9 years for men to 78 years.

José Manuel Abelto, a senior researcher at the College of Sociology at Oxford University, said: Each during those years.

“In this perspective, life expectancy for men and women in the first half of 2020 fell to the level of 2008. Estimates of excess mortality and life expectancy may be underestimated.”

Life expectancy at birth is used as an indicator of population health and can shed light on the cumulative burden of pandemics.

This study was shared on an academic website before being published in a peer-reviewed journal and used official data on all-cause mortality from the National Bureau of Statistics from March 2nd-Covid-19 in England and Wales. Was first registered – by the end of June.

Researchers compared this data with previous trends to look for dying of excess death, life expectancy, and lifespan.

Of the 53,937 excess deaths confirmed, 54% were male.

Lifetime inequality is another measure of population health, based on its impact on social deprivation and its mortality.

The future impact of life expectancy is unknown because of the potential second wave of the virus

Between 2005 and 2019, lifespan inequality slowly decreased from 13.8 to 13.5 years for women and 15 to 14.7 for men, but in the first half of 2020, 12.9 years for women and 14 for men. Declined sharply in the year.

Quantifying excess mortality and its impact on life expectancy at birth provides a more comprehensive picture of Covid-19’s contribution to mortality. “We still don’t know if mortality will return to or fall below baseline levels,” the researchers said.

The future impact on life expectancy is unknown because of the potential second wave of the virus.

Their long-term health effects can also lead to premature death. However, if the most vulnerable people have already died, fewer deaths may occur than expected during the rest of 2020.

However, even if the mortality rate is 10% below the expected baseline for the rest of the year, the coronavirus will reduce the average life expectancy of women by 4.4 months and the life expectancy of men by 6.6 months. By age group, from 15 to 44, there were more than expected 290 excess deaths, but in the 45-64 age group it was 5,786.

The senior group was hit hardest. People aged 65 to 74 were overkilled at 7,514, from ages 75 to 85 reached 15,091, and those aged 85 and older died 25,255.

But is the true death toll overstated?

Eleanor Hayward, Daily Mail Health Reporter

Virus deaths can be “exaggerated”. This is because the number of deaths due to natural death is included in the number.

Matt Hancock yesterday ordered an urgent mortality survey compiled by the British Public Health Service after discovering that some people had ever tested positive.

This means that the virus was diagnosed positive in March, recovered completely, and was included in the death toll from the coronavirus in England, even if it was hit by a bus in June.

Scholars said they believed that the current Department of Health figures (about 72 deaths per day) were twice the exact sum. They estimated that more than 1,000 people probably erroneously recorded their cause of death as Covid-19 since the beginning of the pandemic.

According to Professor Yun Lok of the University of East Anglia and Karl Hennegan of the University of Oxford: The Ministry of Health’s official coronavirus death toll is 45,119.

It is believed that England can switch to the system used in Scotland and Northern Ireland. This includes only those who die within 28 days of testing.

Dr. Susan Hopkins, PHE Incident Director, said: “Remember that this is a new emerging infection and that there is increasing evidence of long-term health problems in some of the affected people. While this knowledge is growing, it is now dead. It is a good time to consider how to calculate.

The discovery of “statistical flaws” was the latest blunder to hit PHE, and was heavily criticized for failing to increase test capacity early in the pandemic.

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