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Utah doctors anticipate a post-holiday surge in COVID-19, unlike past surges

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Utah doctors anticipate a surge in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations after vacation, saying the surge may differ from the past.

The virus was widespread during past vacations, but during Christmas and winter vacations, there were far more trips to and from Utah, and trips were longer.

Dr. Todd Vento, an infectious disease specialist at Intermountain Healthcare, said: “The first few days will be comfortable and you will have 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 cousins, uncles, aunts, and more people with you. Not just one day, but two. Days, 3 days, 4 days, now exposure over time. “

He said holidays and winter vacations gave people more opportunities to encounter the virus.

Another reason these past holidays may bring more cases is that this is the first major holiday in the United States with new, more contagious strains of the virus.

New strains of coronavirus have been found in 33 countries and three states in the United States. The new variant is known as B117. This could add to the problems doctors anticipate with the COVID-19 surge after vacation.

The new variant was first seen in the United Kingdom, but people infected with this strain in the United States had never traveled to the United Kingdom.Vent said it means there is a community infection of this new variant of the virus in the United States

“Is that amazing? No. We were expecting it, and we are expecting more,” he said.

He said he saw new stocks spread further among young people in the UK, which may be worrisome as many Utah students return to class after winter vacation.

“If you want to talk about the potential concept of a’superspreader’event, bring back 20, 30, 40,000 people who weren’t together. I was probably traveling, but now everyone is together. Together again. “

He said the state is providing faster examinations for students and teachers. This should help you feel the positive rate at school early.

Vent added that the strain is about 50% more contagious, but it doesn’t necessarily make you sick.

“It doesn’t seem to cause more serious infections. It doesn’t seem to cause more chances of death,” Vent said.

He said that the same measures we have already taken: wearing masks and social distances also work to prevent the transmission of the virus. Vaccines currently manufactured can also block viral strains.

However, Vent said that the more the virus spreads, the more it spreads. It is more likely to mutate again. To avoid that, he said we had to give in, and our steps to prevent the spread are still important.

COVID-19 has a slight delay between the onset of symptoms and the positive test after someone is infected. Vent said it may take mid-to-late January to see if there is a post-holiday surge.

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