The combination of vaccination and physical distance is sufficient to prevent future COVID-19 surges

A new study by World Pop epidemiologists and demographers at the University of Southampton shows that a combination of strong vaccination programs and strict physical distance rules can avoid a recurrence peak of COVID-19 without having to resort to a stay-at-home order. I will. Collaboration with the Chinese University of Hong Kong.

This study uses anonymized mobile phone geolocation data and epidemiological and coronavirus case data from China to model the potential impact of vaccination and physical distance on viral infections. Did. They predicted the impact of various combinations of interventions on low-density, medium-density, and high-density cities.

Survey results are published in the journal Natural human behavior..

What is the impact

The impact of social distance in containing the future resurrection of COVID-19 is highly dependent on measurement intensity, population density, and availability of vaccine over geographic area and time.

All of these factors, combined, are affecting the larger population as well as the hospital industry itself, which has been plagued by a post-explosion of coronavirus cases, resulting in a lack of finances and resources.

Researchers have found that cities with medium-density and dense populations require both vaccination and distance to prevent future violent waves of COVID-19 until herd immunity is reached. However, they suggest that cities with small populations and effective vaccinations can completely prevent infection without the need for physical distance. In all cities, a complete “house ban” blockade is no longer necessary.

The results also suggest that strong physical distance interventions performed in a short period of time may be more effective than mild long-term interventions.

This provides policy makers and public health authorities with a framework for identifying appropriate levels of intervention to control the outbreak of coronavirus over the long term. In addition, although the data is from China, the team said the framework could be applied to cities around the world.

Researchers are aware of some limitations to the data, such as lack of data on hand washing and face mask contributions, vaccine supply challenges, etc., but this approach quickly adapts to provide near real-time data. We emphasize what we can do to meet new time-critical needs.

Big trend

In the United States, the Byzantine vaccine distribution process is closely monitored. January, President Biden Issued numerous executive orders The aim was to increase production and supply, including enacting the Defense Production Act to ensure the necessary supply for pandemic health care workers.

In addition, Biden has issued an executive order to ensure a data-driven response to COVID-19 and future serious public health threats. In line with this policy, the heads of all executive departments and agencies will work with the COVID-19 Response Coordinator to facilitate the collection, sharing and publication of COVID-19 relevant data.

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