Deaths from coronaviruses in California can be much higher than known

According to COVID-19, the death toll in all states during the pandemic of COVID-19 is more than 9% higher than the past average. Newly Released Federal Statistics, Suggests that there may be hundreds or even thousands of casualties than so far attributed to the disease.

According to new data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, according to the Times, about 4,500 more people died from all causes in 2020, more than expected from past averages. analysis.

According to experts, the total number of coronavirus deaths from the authorities’ coronavirus was 1,017 as of Monday, with a difference of about 3,500 suggesting a wider impact on mortality from the disease.

The statistics they note are preliminary and more extensive research will reveal the true impact of the disease on California’s death. But they say the new numbers are an important early indicator in understanding it.

“Probably indicates that this COVID disease was actually responsible for some or all of these excess deaths,” said Bonnie Maldonado, a professor at Stanford University and epidemiology of infectious diseases. . “It is important to understand the extent.”

The federal death toll, and deaths due to this disease, lag behind these locals, providing only partial understanding of the true consequences.

In California, attention by health professionals and social distance order may have delayed the spread of the coronavirus, with approximately 1,900 deaths directly related to the disease reported locally.

Newly released figure Draw a darker picture Additional mortality in states most affected by this disease, such as New York and New Jersey.

The data is based on official death certificates completed by a doctor or health care professional. They are compiled by CDC experts under a national demographic program that aggregates deaths reported by local and state health authorities.

On Monday, the agency announced new weekly deaths by state for 2014-2020. This allows you to compare this year’s mortality with the past. It also published the number of coronavirus-related deaths by county and deaths from all causes.

“ We have a combination of COVID deaths that have not been declared COVID deaths and other deaths due to untreated or delayed treatment, ” said Eileen Crimines, a professor of gerontology at the USC. I’m thinking. ” Who is the President of Population Assn? America’s.

Statistics include figures for certain common types of death, such as pneumonia, influenza, lower respiratory tract infections, and heart disease. Experts say that some of the deaths from coronaviruses may have been misclassified, especially during the first few weeks of the pandemic, where extensive and rapid testing remained elusive. According to the data, the unclassified death type catch-all category showed an increase over the previous year.

These additional deaths may be associated with the disease or hesitant to seek medical attention from some ill Californians due to their presence in hospitals and clinics. According to experts, growth may be due in part to demographic trends, historical anomalies, or some combination of all these factors.

They say that over time, more research and data collection can help them understand better.

“I’m not looking at the big picture, but what you’ve detected is a signal. I think that’s important,” Maldonado said. “Over time, I think we will gain a better understanding of the true impact of COVID on California’s death.”

The county figures released by the authorities, which lag reports from the department, allow us to compare coronavirus deaths with the share of all-cause mortality in each part of the state.

In Los Angeles County, for example, this disease is attributed to approximately 2.7% of all-cause mortality this year, the second highest rate after San Mateo County. Orange County is the lowest of the states included in the report, at about 0.5%. The agency withheld totals from many small counties with low coronavirus numbers.