After the UK general election, Labor lost 40% of its parliamentary seats.

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Labor lost more than 40% of the parliamentary seats it defended in by-elections following the general election, a further sign of the party's plummeting popularity since the Fourth of July.

A new analysis of parliamentary voting performance shows that political parties' vote shares in local government by-elections have fallen by 80%, with declines of more than 10% in almost half of the cases.

David Cowling, a political analyst and former BBC political research editor who carried out the analysis, said he expects the ruling party to suffer some blows after the general election, but certainly not as immediate or drastic as this one.

He analyzed the 101 parliamentary by-elections that Labor has contested across England, Wales and Scotland since 4 July.

After the general election, Labor defended a total of 58 parliamentary seats, winning 34 of them but losing 24.

The party lost parliamentary seats to the Liberal Democrats, Greens, English Reform Party and Scottish Nationalists, but most of its losses involved handing over 14 parliamentary seats from Labor to the Conservatives.

The decline comes after the party won 402 of 650 congressional districts and secured a massive majority of 163 this summer, despite winning just 34% of the popular vote.

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Post-election tallies have shown opinion polls in many parts of the country documenting a decline in Labor's favorability rating.

Cowling said it was particularly surprising that the Tories had succeeded in taking back parliament from Labor after suffering their worst ever defeat in July. To me, this is extraordinary, to expect Labour, the Lib Dems and the Greens to peck at the Conservative Party's corpse and strip it bare.

Labor also won five additional parliamentary seats, including three in Scotland and one in Wales.

Overall, Labor's vote share in the 101 by-elections increased to 20 seats, nine of which were in Scotland and two in Wales. This indicates that Labor is in worse shape in England than in other parts of the country where the party contests elections.

Labor is considered to have built a very effective voter base before the general election, but its support ratings are shallow in many areas. The party secured one of the largest majorities in British history, with the lowest vote share for a winning party in modern times.

Tory poll analyst Sir Robert Hayward said it was unprecedented for the incoming government to have incurred the wrath of voters in so many parliaments over the past four months.

Cowling also analyzed all public opinion polls conducted since the general election and found that voter support for Labor had fallen by eight percentage points since July 4, from an average of 38% to 30% in October.

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Meanwhile, the approval rating for the Conservative Party was analyzed to have increased from an average of 21% to 25% over the same period.

Hayward said he appeared to have confirmed the collapse in support for Keir Starmer as prime minister, as confirmed by opinion polls.

Starmer's personal approval rating has fallen faster than any modern British prime minister, from +11 before the election to -38 this week, according to research group More in Common.

On Tuesday, More in Common published the results of a survey conducted between 8 and 11 November, the first since Kemi Badenoch took office as Tory leader, showing the Tories narrowly ahead of Labor by two percentage points on 29%. It turns out that it is. vs. 27%.

A Labor spokesman said: This new Labor government has inherited unprecedented challenges from the Conservatives, with collapsed public services and dire public finances. We have already started fixing the basics and delivering changes.

Data visualization by Jonathan Vincent

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