10-day trend: Heat wave peaks before returning to more variable conditions.

Looking ahead, very hot weather will continue for many people, especially across England and Wales, but there will be a gradual transition to cooler, fresher air over the weekend and into next week.

The heat wave phenomenon lasts for a short period of time

In the immediate forecast, high pressure remains dominant and temperatures could rise to exceptional levels. Temperatures are widely expected to reach the mid-30s in central and southern England, with highs possibly reaching 38 or even 39 degrees Celsius in some areas. These values ​​place the UK close to record territory, highlighting the severity of this early summer heat wave.

Further north, it will be noticeably warmer, with highs reaching 20 degrees across northern England, southern Scotland and Northern Ireland. However, it will be somewhat cooler in the far north of Scotland, with occasional rain.

Humidity is also a key feature of this period, making it feel much hotter than raw temperatures alone might suggest. The combination of heat and high humidity will cause heat index values ​​to rise across most of the UK, increasing the risk of impacts on health, infrastructure and transport.

The current unusually hot and humid weather will gradually ease from the west from Friday through the weekend.

Stay #WeatherAware ⚠️ pic.twitter.com/7aEd7bg809

— Met Office (@metoffice) June 24, 2026 As conditions begin to change, there is a risk of thunderstorms forming.

As the heat builds, the likelihood of thunderstorms increases, especially over southern and south-west England. This could result in frequent lightning, heavy rain and locally strong winds, with gusts potentially reaching 60 to 65 miles per hour.

A gradual transition will begin by Friday. Northern areas, including Scotland and Northern Ireland, will see more rain at times, and although it will still be hot in most parts of England and Wales, slightly cooler weather will start to appear in the west. Temperatures in eastern England, where the heat will last the longest, will still reach the mid to upper 30s.

The heat will gradually ease over the weekend.

Fresher air continues to flow in from the west through Saturday, bringing more clouds, breezy winds and scattered showers, especially across Scotland and Northern Ireland. However, the heat is likely to last longer in eastern regions, particularly south-east England, with temperatures still reaching the low 30s Celsius.

By Sunday we will see more pronounced changes across the UK. The jet stream will reappear, allowing Atlantic weather systems to move more freely. This will bring a mix of sunshine and showers, breezy winds and a noticeable drop in temperatures for many.

Temperatures on Sunday are expected to range from the upper teens to low 20s across most of the UK, with around 27°C expected in the south east. You will feel much more comfortable than you did the day before, especially once the humidity levels start to drop.

READ MORE: Deep dive: Why is it so hot and humid?

Next week we’ll return to typical summer weather.

As we look further into the next week, the overall pattern becomes more variable. The jet stream remains active, directing low pressure systems towards the UK, particularly affecting the north and west where rain and showers can occur at times.

At the same time, higher pressure may build in the southwest, attempting to bring drier and brighter spells at times, especially in the south. However, this is unlikely to be completely dominant and a north-south contrast is expected, with wet and windy conditions becoming more frequent the further north you go.

This pattern represents a return to more typical British summer conditions of a mix of sunshine and showers rather than a prolonged period of hot, steady weather.

Average temperature recovery trend

As new weather patterns become established, temperatures will move closer to average for the year. There may still be some warm weather, especially in the South, but there are few signs of a widespread recovery from the extreme heat experienced in the short term.

Overall, the next 10 days will see a transition from intense heat and humidity to more balanced summer conditions, with fresher air, intermittent rainfall and a more varied outlook across the UK.

You can stay up to date with our weather alerts and follow us on our website, YouTube,

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