Coronavirus infection rates can average up to six times higher, according to ANU research.The Canberra Times
Coronavirus,
A new study found that COVID-19 infection rates in Australia could be five times higher than reported. According to a survey by the Australian National University and the University of Melbourne, infection rates in 15 countries from March to August averaged 6.2 times that of reported cases, and up to 17 times in Italy, the peak of the pandemic. The study estimated the actual number of infections in 800 million people in 10 countries in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, Australia, and Europe. ANU co-author Professor Quentin Grafton said modeling showed that the prevalence in Australia was significantly higher than the confirmed rate of 0.10 percent of the population. A total of more than 27,700 cases have been reported in Australia. “According to our modeling, the actual proportion of infected and recoverers at the end of August is five times higher than reported, and 0.48% of the population, or up to 130,000, may be infected. “He said. Read more: “These findings show all aspects of the coronavirus pandemic, including the continued prevalence and lifelong health effects of infected people, how to implement and manage blockades, and how to ensure them.” It raises serious questions about how to deal with it. It is more broadly above this pandemic. ”The true prevalence was determined by analyzing the number of COVID-19 deaths in each country. Researchers looked at the death toll in each country and back-calculated to calculate how many people were infected to reach that number of deaths. Professor Grafton said Australia had the highest detection rate of 50% of the 15 countries in April, but returned to 20% due to the outbreak in Victoria. “The important thing is that people need to be encouraged to take the test and nothing discourages them from doing the right thing,” he said. “I ran into that problem in Melbourne in June and July in terms of detection.” Professor Grafton said short wait times and financial assistance to COVID-19 patients or patients waiting for results in Australia’s detection rate. Said it is important to enhance. The state has been blocked for six days as the Parafield cluster north of Adelaide continues to grow. Professor Grafton said that he should adopt based on new discoveries and lessons learned from Victoria in response to “work hard and go fast.” He said that as cases continue to grow, leaving the community unblocked can almost double the length of time that strict rules need to be put in place to curb the spread of the virus. .. “If there are 20 confirmed cases in Adelaide at this time, it means that there are more than 20 cases, or quite practically more than 20 cases,” says Professor Grafton. “Maybe you want to think that there are more than 40 cases, or potentially 50 cases.” Then you have a different idea. Professor Grafton said Australia’s detection rate is unlikely to meet the true infection rate given the number of asymptomatic cases of coronavirus, but could be improved to return to. 50 percent.
A new study found that COVID-19 infection rates in Australia could be five times higher than reported.
According to a survey by the Australian National University and the University of Melbourne, infection rates in 15 countries from March to August averaged 6.2 times that of reported cases, and up to 17 times in Italy, the peak of the pandemic.
The study estimated the actual number of infections in 800 million people in 10 countries in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, Australia, and Europe.
ANU co-author Professor Quentin Grafton said modeling showed that the prevalence in Australia was significantly higher than the confirmed rate of 0.10 percent of the population. A total of more than 27,700 cases have been reported in Australia.
“According to our modeling, the actual proportion of infected and recoverers at the end of August is five times higher than reported, and 0.48% of the population, or up to 130,000, may be infected. “He said.
“These findings confirm the continued prevalence and lifelong health effects of infected people, how to implement and manage blockades, and how we are at the top. And so on, it raises serious questions about how to deal with all aspects of the coronavirus pandemic. In the wider range of this pandemic. ”
The true infection rate was determined by analyzing the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country.
Researchers looked at the number of deaths in each country and calculated back to calculate how many people were infected to reach that number.
Professor Grafton said Australia had the highest detection rate of 50% of the 15 countries in April, but returned to 20% due to the outbreak in Victoria.
“The important thing is that people need to be encouraged to take the test and nothing discourages them from doing the right thing,” he said.
“I ran into that problem in Melbourne in June and July from a detection perspective.”
Professor Grafton said short waiting times and financial assistance for COVID-19 patients or patients waiting for results are important for increasing detection rates in Australia.
The state has been blocked for six days as the Parafield cluster north of Adelaide continues to grow.
Professor Grafton said that he should adopt based on new discoveries and lessons learned from Victoria in response to “work hard and go fast.”
He said that as cases continue to grow, leaving the community unblocked can almost double the length of time that strict rules need to be put in place to curb the spread of the virus. ..
“If there are 20 confirmed cases in Adelaide at this time, it means that there are more than 20 cases, or quite practically more than 20 cases,” says Professor Grafton.
“You probably want to think that there are more than 40 cases, or potentially 50 cases.
“Then you have a different idea. It may be much more than we think, so we need to do something else.”
Professor Grafton said Australia’s detection rate is unlikely to meet the true infection rate given the number of asymptomatic cases of coronavirus, but could make improvements to bring it back to 50%. ..
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