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What Xi wants in Pyongyang: the capital’s cable n°135

What Xi wants in Pyongyang: the capital’s cable n°135


As Xi Jinping prepares for his first trip to Pyongyang in nearly seven years, the central question is what Beijing really wants from Kim Jong-un. The Trump-Xi summit in May provided some indication of China’s position on denuclearization, but Beijing’s real leverage over Pyongyang and Xi’s patience with a partner that continually creates problems for it remain far less clear.

In this episode of The Capital Cable, host Mark Lippert is joined by Victor Cha, Oriana Skylar Mastro, and Edgard Kagan to explain Beijing’s influence over Kim, how China balances its desire for stability on the peninsula with Moscow’s growing pull, and what the whole picture means for U.S. strategy in Asia.

Oriana Skylar Mastro is a Center Fellow and Director of the Indo-Pacific Policy Lab at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and an assistant professor of political science at Stanford University, where her research focuses on Chinese military and security policy, Asia-Pacific security issues, war endings, and coercive diplomacy. She is also a nonresident fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. She was previously an assistant professor of security studies at Georgetown University. Mastro continues to serve as a lieutenant colonel in the United States Air Force Reserve for which she currently works at the Pentagon as deputy chief of global reserve strategy for China. His book, The Costs of Conversation: Obstacles to Peace Talks in Wartime(Cornell University Press, 2019), won the 2020 Best Book Award from the American Political Science Association Section on International Security, authored by a non-tenured faculty member. She holds a bachelor’s degree in East Asian Studies from Stanford University and a master’s and Ph.D. in Politics from Princeton

Ambassador (Ret.) Edgard D. Kagan is Senior Advisor and Freeman Chair in Chinese Studies at CSIS. He served as U.S. Ambassador to Malaysia to Presidents Trump and Biden from December 2023 to February 2026, and previously Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for East Asia and Oceania at the National Security Council. A career member of the Senior Foreign Service, Kagan also served as charge d’affaires and deputy chief of mission at the U.S. Embassy in New Delhi and deputy chief of mission in Kuala Lumpur, with prior positions in the State Department’s Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs. He is a recipient of the Presidential Meritorious Award, speaks Mandarin Chinese and French, and holds a bachelor’s degree from Yale University.

This event is made possible thanks to the general support provided to CSIS.

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