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COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Tracker: Week of March 22
/vaccinegraph-00353d32e35b46f3b6d369ad9cee9228.png "COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Tracker: Week of March 22")
Editor’s Note: The following is the release of the COVID-19 vaccine distribution tracker, first published on March 23, 2021. Homepage of COVID-19 vaccine distribution tracker About the latest data.
The state is in the fight against time to expand the eligibility of the COVID-19 vaccine. May 1st is the deadline set by President Biden to make it available to desired US adults. However, expanding distribution so rapidly is not always sustainable and may not be moving the needle.
The government provided the state with an additional 21 million doses last week, a slight increase from 20 million weekly doses since Johnson & Johnson first appeared at the end of February.
Biden promised more doses, but the current rhythm is not enough to fulfill his promise to “provide sufficient vaccine supply to all adults in the United States by the end of May.” (Note: “Sufficient supply” was interpreted to mean enough vaccine to account for two complete doses of Pfizer and Moderna shots, not just the first dose.)
Currently, Wyoming is the only state or territory that has sufficient doses to fully vaccinate the adult population by the end of May.
In the meantime, you can see the available data in a more promising way. If the pattern for the last 7 days is maintained, a significant majority (70%) of the adult population will be vaccinated efficiently enough to be fully vaccinated by July 4th. which one? As of March 22, at least four targets are Delaware, Vermont, New Mexico, and California.
Why 70%?
There is not yet a definite percentage of the population needed to reach COVID-19 herd immunity, but it is a good idea to start with 70%. Herd immunity refers to the defenses achieved when a significant portion of the population develops immunity to an infectious disease, either by vaccination or by a previous illness. Dr. Anthony Fauci, MD, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said that 60% to 70% of the population needs to be vaccinated or recovered to reach herd immunity. His projection has evolved It ranges from 70% to 90%.
Herd immunity is a complex calculation that depends on both past infections and the number of people vaccinated. The World Health Organization emphasizes that herd immunity should depend on vaccination rather than exposure to disease. For the sake of prediction, our figures focus on the time it takes to reach 70% with vaccination alone.
Last week, four completely different states, Maine, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island, were targeting the July 4th benchmark. Volatility can be explained by the large, sudden changes in eligibility that occur in different states.
according to New York Times, At least 20 states will open vaccine eligibility to all adults in March or April. I already have Alaska and Mississippi. Last week, specifically:
- Delaware has lowered the eligibility criteria for adults over the age of 50 and for all people over the age of 16 with underlying illness.
- New Mexico, Steady cruise through vaccination of qualified adults, Officially entered Phase 1C. This is the final distribution phase before the vaccine is available to everyone.
- Vermont has begun providing vaccines to people over the age of 60.
The longer-term outlook for the state will improve as more groups are targeted for the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine. After all, herd immunity depends on an increase in the total number of vaccinated people. Therefore, increasing the first dose causes a gradual change in state along the herd immunity timeline rather than increasing the second dose.
The challenge is to ensure that there is enough vaccine to keep shooting new qualified weapons. And, as the (very short) history of COVID-19 vaccine deployment shows, it has the potential to win the race slowly and steadily.
States such as Alaska, Hawaii, New Mexico, and Connecticut keep their qualified population fairly small throughout most of their rollouts and grow little by little at a time. As a result, two things are true. First, in these places, higher-risk people are vaccinated. And second, these states are also equipped to maintain high efficiency when it comes to administering available doses to a wider group of people.
Data from Amanda Moreli / Adrian Nesta
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