Dublin seems to move to level 3 on the government’s COVID restriction list by the weekend.
The Cabinet Subcommittee is scheduled to review the advice NPHET will give tomorrow on Friday.
A cabinet meeting is expected to follow, and regulations that may prevent the doubler from leaving the county will be announced.
It will come tonight after the announcement of 254 new COVID-19 cases alongside three more dead.
The death toll in Ireland is 1,788 and the number of cases is 31,799.
Of the 136 new cases, 20 in Dublin, 13 in Donegor, 13 in Laus, 12 in Wicklow, 9 in Wexford, 7 in Carlow, 7 in Cork, 6 in Goalway, Kelly. There were 5 cases in Wexford and 5 cases in Wexford.
The remaining 28 cases have spread to Claire, Kildare, Kilkenny, Leia, Leitrim, Limerick, Longford, Mayo, Monaghan, Offaly, Roscommon and Westmeath.
Dr. Ronan Glynn, Deputy Chief Health Officer, said 24 new cases have been identified as community-acquired infections, but 61% are associated with outbreaks or previously identified cases.
What does our model tell us?# COVID-19 (new coronavirus infection) (# If there is no character limit, add parentheses when it first appears 12/13 pic.twitter.com/euf8y4kfxE
-Department of Health (@roinnslainte) September 16, 2020
He said the situation has worsened both in Dublin and across the country in the past week.
“I’ve seen trends with Dublin, especially in Laus, Waterford and Donegal,” he said.
“It is now absolutely essential that people give public health advice and act as if they or those near them could become infected.”
Daily COVID-19 cases from August to September. Image: Ministry of Health.As of yesterday night, there were 53 new cases per 100,000 in Ireland in the last two weeks.
As a result, the country will be designated as a red zone on the following international travel map of the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control.
Daily and weekly counts and 5-day moving averages – The average daily confirmed cases were stable at 20 per day until July 29. The number of cases is increasing. Currently, the daily average is 246.# COVID-19 (new coronavirus infection) (# If there is no character limit, add parentheses when it first appears 4/13 pic.twitter.com/LSyzLM3qlX
-Department of Health (@roinnslainte) September 16, 2020
The 14-day incidence in Dublin was 104, with Raus at 76.8, Leitrim at 71.8, Waterford at 64.6, and Offaly at 61.6.
On the other hand, certain parts of Dublin are well above the 100 mark, and northwestern Dublin faces the most cases at 152.2.
14-day incidence per 100,000 people in DublinMeanwhile, Professor Philip Nolan, chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiology Modeling Advisory Group, said the R0 number of the virus could reach 1.7.
“The number of views nationwide is 1.3-1.7,” he said.
“I’m more concerned than ever since late April. The number of cases appears to be exponentially increasing, and we all act immediately to break the chain of viral transmission. Without it, it could double every 10-14 days.
“If you set the r number back to less than 1 without interrupting the transmission here, modeling could result in 500-1,000 cases per day by October 16th, 50-60% of which are in Dublin. It will occur. “
The graph below shows the increase in Dublin cases since late June.
Daily COVID-19 cases in Dublin from July to September. Image: Ministry of HealthDr. Colm Henry, Chief Clinical Officer, states that 73 COVID-19 patients are currently hospitalized and 14 are receiving intensive care.
He said nine people had been hospitalized in the last 24 hours.
“The rate of admission of COVID-19 patients to acute care hospitals is skyrocketing,” he said.
“We know that unless these trends are reversed, hospitalizations will escalate rapidly and healthcare facilities will be exposed to unsustainable pressure.
“It is more important than ever for everyone to adhere to the basic measures that can weaken the virus in the community.”
Meanwhile, Dr. Mary Fabier, COVID-19 adviser to the Irish General Practitioner (ICGP), said authorities “are conducting a number of tests on children.” But as a result, she said there was no “disproportionate rise” in the proceedings.
