Moderate recovery from Covid-19 predicted by state health leaders, no swift end to social distance

“There is no Grand Opening in Pennsylvania. It will be a slow approach,” said Dr. Rachel Levine, Health Assistant in Pennsylvania.

The governor emphasized the message. “Today, our numbers are still rising and climbing that curve rather than descending, but the people of Maryland remain at home, avoid crowds and crowds, and actively socialize. Is very important, “at a press conference that Maryland Gobler Lee Hogan said.

“We are not outside the forest,” California Gov Gavin Newsom said in his own financial statements.

In addition to significant obligations, most U.S. states require or obtain local residents to stay home and have been confirmed in more than 635,000 individuals, in fact eliminating at least 28,000. Being attempted to slow the spread of infection, according to a tally maintained by Johns Hopkins University, more than 90% of the United States population is currently under home or sedentary order.

You can’t go back to the quintessential, but “brand new”

President Donald Trump has certainly reiterated that the country’s economic climate will resume by 1 May. However, Gus and state health officials threw cold water at the proposal in their daily depression.

“So when people say that it’s time to stop doing what we’re doing and return to normal, they’re wrong,” said Virginia Gov Ralph Northam.

“Currently … we expect hospitals to be able to cope with the expected surge in patients. But when we release the brakes and try to get back on track, it can overwhelm the hospital. Another spike is seen in, “said Northam.

Home orders in Virginia are currently valid until June 10.

“Instead of returning to the typical one, we need to anticipate a” new normal “, says North Carolina Gob Roy Cooper. Sporting opportunities may just be televised. “You will not have a face-to-face crowd,” he predicted.

“Think of it as a dimming switch that can be adjusted in steps. It slowly puts the light back in, so we need to watch for annoying signs of spikes (for Covid-19).”

Social distance “maybe until 2022”

Tuesday, a Harvard University scientist. Chan School of Public Health said Americans may need to anticipate regular closures and social distance restrictions for more than a year, and perhaps until 2022.

Similar to Dr. Mark Lipsic, and his colleague Steven Kistler, a public health teacher at Harvard University, their predictions suggest that the infection will recur relatively quickly as soon as the constraints are raised. Stated.

Last week, another popular expert in modeling disease outbreaks, as well as Washington University’s criteria, was Dr. Christopher Murray of the Institute of Health Indicators that some of his designs were infected during the summer months. It may be gone by.

Lipsitch said Murray’s design was based purely on previous patterns of disease and did not take into account human habits or biology of infection.

“It’s not a model that most people in the field of epidemiology of infectious diseases think fit,” Lipsic told reporters.

To his mind, almost everyone in the country is still vulnerable to Covid-19. It certainly takes a year or more before the injection is released, but individuals will definitely continue to have abdominal pain.

Despite significant improvements in infectious disease screening, Lipsic said many areas of the country would not be able to cope with a restored breakout of the infection without socially remote procedures. . “We expect more cases in the summer,” he said.

Strengthening efforts in call mapping and screening

One way to help control the spread of an infection without limiting its activity is to discover all new situations and find someone who may have been contaminated by that individual. This is a technique called call mapping.

Some guvs said they are flipping the initiative to do that. According to Hogan, Maryland has 250 individuals with call mapping across the state, and strategies to quadruple this pressure on at least 1,000 state workers and outdoor professionals. Is in progress.

However, in order for call mapping to be practical, instance boosts must be reliably regulated initially by much longer quarantine and quarantine, Rhode IslandGov Gina Raimondo says. “ Once people go to work and kids go to school, a way to be able to do this safely is to quickly identify who is sick and who has been exposed and quickly isolate them or Isolate, “she said.

“This is the name of a game that has a more precise and focused way, rather than this blunt way of closing all restaurants and keeping them socially distant. This is something we cannot sustain.”

Similarly, many states are increasing screening.

“We are developing a new testing strategy,” said Dr. Lisa Pierce, director of health in Tennessee, in her routine analysis of her state. “First of all, we expanded our testing criteria. (You) You no longer need to have these typical symptoms of fever, cough, or shortness of breath to qualify for the test. If it seems necessary, we will test it, “she assured.

Not all states are patient. Oklahoma Gob Kevin Stitt said Wednesday that he is actively working on a strategy to resume the state’s economic situation, perhaps as early as April 30, when the current home order is over.

However, Stitt has also revealed that it will extend the home offer to the state’s “vulnerable people” until May 6.

“We need to be vigilant, but we are considering and working on a plan to safely open up our nation,” he said.