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From Iceland – earthquake calms, scientists remind of the events of last March that preceded the eruption of the volcano

From Iceland – earthquake calms, scientists remind of the events of last March that preceded the eruption of the volcano

 


The earthquake swarm that started on December 21 has been considerably quieter in the past 24 hours or so, but we’re not out of the woods yet.

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Only 118 earthquakes were recorded across the country as of midnight last night, 105 of them in Reykjanes, as of the time of writing. Almost all of these factors were very mild – according to the latest data from the Icelandic Met Office, only two earthquakes greater than 3 have been recorded since midnight last night, both a few kilometers north of Krýsuvík, the largest being 3.9 at 14:29 yesterday. There was also a 3.7 at 10:22 this morning.

However, scientists note a pattern very reminiscent of the events leading up to the eruption of the Gildadalur volcano in March 2021.

Þorvaldur Þórðarson, professor of volcanology and petrology at the University of Iceland, told RÚV: “If you look at the pattern of seismic activity, it is very similar to what happened before the March 19 eruption earlier this year. Both in the number of earthquakes and the strength released by the earthquakes. But it is lower. Much. It’s probably a tenth of what we saw earlier this year. So it’s all a bit quieter.”

Salóme Jórunn Bernharðsdóttir, a natural disaster specialist at the Icelandic Meteorological Office, gave a similar assessment to MBL, saying: “Last time, the earthquakes decreased in strength, and then the eruption quickly surfaced. We can expect the same thing to happen now, or see all the new behavior” .

Salome emphasized that it is impossible to say anything definitive about the likelihood of a volcanic eruption.

“It’s very hard to say,” she said. “This is a profession that requires extreme caution in predictions. There is a lot that is at play in this that can have an impact and is unknown. It is all just beneath the surface, and we don’t see it.”

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://grapevine.is/news/2021/12/29/earthquakes-calming-reminding-scientists-of-last-marchs-pre-eruption-events/

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