Japan issues warning of 'higher than usual' major earthquake risk

Japan has issued a warning for the first time about the increased risk of a “major earthquake” in the near future.

The warnings were issued late Thursday local time, asking people to be on alert but not to evacuate their homes. It also said the warning did not mean a major earthquake was imminent, but that the likelihood of one occurring was higher than usual.

This came hours after a 7.1-magnitude earthquake struck off the southern island of Kyushu, which reportedly caused no major damage.

But experts were on high alert because of the location of the quake's epicenter – on the edge of the Nankai Trough, a seismically active area that runs along Japan's Pacific coast.

The plate boundary lies between Suruga Bay in central Japan, and the Hyogandana Sea in Kyushu to the south.

Previous earthquakes in the Nankai Basin have killed thousands. These large quakes occur every 90 to 200 years, the last being in 1946.

Experts say there is a 70 percent to 80 percent chance of a magnitude 8 or 9 quake hitting somewhere along the basin in the next 30 years, according to Kyodo News. Worst-case estimates suggest more than 200,000 people could be killed in the quake and possible tsunami.

But at a news conference on Thursday, Japan Meteorological Agency official Shinya Tsukada stressed that while “there is a relatively higher chance of another major earthquake compared to normal times,” they are not saying it will definitely happen “in a certain period of time.”

This current advisory — the least of two types of alerts available to administrators — will remain in effect for one week.

Authorities have asked residents to be on high alert in the coming days, and for those who cannot evacuate quickly to consider doing so voluntarily, according to NHK.

Officials also urged people to be cautious and continue their daily lives, checking evacuation routes when needed and making sure families have adequate supplies.

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