Health
Coronavirus Does Not Slow Down Until “60-70%” of Population
Key Point
- Coronavirus can continue to infect people until it infects all possible people
- Can get angry until it reaches about 70% of the population
- Even if it begins to decline this summer, it may return to fall
The deadly novel coronavirus infects more than 4 million people and kills more than 290,000 people worldwide, with top infectious disease specialists issuing a very serious warning.
According to Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Diseases Research and Policy Center at the University of Minnesota, the first wave of COVID-19 in places like New York, Seattle, and Los Angeles is only a small fraction of illness and future deaths.
“This damn virus lasts until it infects all those who may infect it. It does not slow down until it reaches 60-70% of the population. It creates immunity for the herd and the virus The number that stops the epidemic, which is the big peak we actually carry out Fox News cites Osterholm, and in suffering, death and financial turmoil, 5-20% of infected people get infected. This is a long way to reach 60-70%.
Previous Pandemics-The Spanish Cold of 1918 was riding multiple waves around the world. There were second and third waves after the first one hit the military primarily in the spring of 1918. It is estimated that the Spanish flu killed more than 675,000 people in the United States alone.
Experts believe that if new cases of coronavirus infections begin to disappear this summer, COVID-19 may follow a seasonal pattern similar to that of influenza. Also, if COVID-19 recedes and only returns in the second half of the fall, the number of cases can peak, overwhelming health care providers who have to deal with influenza cases and other illnesses.
However, there are some important differences between influenza and COVID-19. The incubation period for influenza is only a few days, while the incubation period for new viruses is about 5 days. The long incubation period and high infection rate indicate that COVID-19 is more spreadable than influenza.
Osterholm believes that only effective vaccines can slow the deadly virus and reach the majority of the population to develop some immunity. Even if we have such an effective vaccine, Osterholm argued, whether it is durable enough to give long-term protection from the new coronavirus. I’m not sure.
“We all have to confront the fact that there is no magic bullet out of vaccine deficiency. It extinguishes this. We co-exist with it. And such arguments are Not at all. ”Osterholme told USA Today.
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