Health
Coronavirus: Nail Ferguson suggests that lockdown could be further mitigated in the absence of the “shock” epidemic of nursing homes
Risk of Pandemic If the government does not break the countermeasures, returns will be low Coronavirus To nursing homeEx-adviser says.
Professor Neil Ferguson He said that if ministers were easier, they would be able to “give more time” Blockade Restrictions-He added that he was “shocked” for not being able to protect caregivers in the “world” as well as in the UK.
Asked about Critical R recall – This remains close to 1. If this is exceeded, the infection will increase again – Professor Epidemiology He emphasized that institutional and community infections are “coupled”.
“If we did a better job of reducing infections in hospitals, nursing homes and other facilities, and if we did a better job, we would have a little bigger room, and there would be more room.” He spoke to a parliamentary question.
Ferguson further added: “Infections in hospitals and nursing homes are more commonly transmitted to the community by people working in these facilities.
“Therefore, if these institutional settings help keep infection rates low, we can keep infections low for the entire community.”
Comments happened this week in controversy over lifting some restrictions-mixing homes and reopening schools-despite transmissions remained “high” According to official warning level”..
Boris Johnson Recognized last month, there were still “epidemics” in nursing homes even after the passage of England COVID-19 Peak, accounting for at least a quarter of deaths.
Professor Ferguson, Had to quit after his own lockdown breach,Said Aristocrat Science and Technology Commission: “I am shocked by how badly many countries in Europe and around the world are protecting the population of nursing homes, like many people.”
Lockdown was more successful than the Imperial College modeler had predicted, reducing contacts by 85 percent instead of 75 percent, he said.
The mitigations introduced to date do not automatically increase incidents of coronaviruses. The coronavirus was expected to remain relatively flat during the summer.
However, Ferguson warned that there was a great deal of uncertainty about what would happen in September, and said that the impact on the infection would be “very unclear” as regulations were further relaxed.
Dr. Adam Kucharski, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, criticized the delay in fully implementing problematic testing and follow-up programs.
“By the time someone showed symptoms, they were probably contagious for another day or two,” he told the committee.
“That means, by the time someone shows symptoms, they will report it as a case, their contacts may already be infected, and they themselves may get an additional 3-4 infections.”
Matt Keeling, professor of Warwick University, said: “In the early stages of the Wuhan outbreak, it was unclear whether it would be of similar size in the UK and elsewhere in the world.
“So, I think Italy was really a big country, and I realized that there could be a big epidemic in Britain.”
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