Health
British coronavirus alive: R-values rise between 1.0 and 1.2 as the first Welsh minister warns of “collecting storms” politics
The number of replicas of coronavirus infections across the UK, or R-value, is over 1.
Estimates of R across the UK are between 1.0 and 1.2, according to data released by the Science and Technology Agency and the Emergency Science Advisory Group (Sage) on Friday.
The number of newly diagnosed cases continues to grow, with higher incidences in adolescents aged 18-24.
According to government advisors, R exceeded 1 in early March.
R represents the average number of people who continue to be infected with each Covid-19 positive. Outbreaks can increase exponentially when the figure exceeds 1. In the United Kingdom, R is between 1 and 1.2.
This number is slightly higher in London and the northwest, between 1.1 and 1.3 in both regions. R and growth rate estimates are provided by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group (SPI-M) on Modeling, a subgroup of Sage.
The rate of increase in coronavirus infections is increasing slightly, reflecting the rapid daily change in the number of infections. In the UK as a whole, the latest growth rates are between -1% and + 3% per day.
This means that the number of new infections is between a 1% decrease and a 3% increase each day. Experts advise the government that the most likely values are towards the middle of the range.
However, they also stated that R and growth rates are not the only important indicators of a pandemic and should be considered along with other metrics.
These include the number of new cases of the disease identified during the specified time period (incidence) and the proportion of the population with the disease at a particular point in time (prevalence).
In eastern England, R-values range from 0.9 to 1.2, but growth rates range from -1% to + 4%. Midland’s R-value is 0.9-1.1, but the region’s growth rate is -1% -+ 3%.
In northeastern and Yorkshire, R-values range from 1.0 to 1.2, but growth rates range from + 1% to + 5%. In the southeast, the R-value is 1.0-1.2, but the growth rate is 0- + 4%.
The southwestern R-value is 0.9-1.2 and the growth rate is -1% -+ 4%.
In London, growth is + 2% to + 4%, while in the northwest it is + 2% to + 5%.
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