The model finds one in 115 currently infected Coloradans – CBS Denver

Denver (CBS4) – A new modeling report shows that the number of COVID-19 infections is decreasing in Colorado. The report estimates that 1 in 115 Coloradodan is currently infected with the virus. This is almost 1% of the state’s population.

(Credit: CBS)

Infection rates are similar to April, when viral infections first peaked in Colorado. The state’s effective reproduction number is 0.83, indicating that the COVID-19 epidemic is declining.

Researchers have updated the modeling report to investigate the potential for diffusion of the B.1.1.7 variant, which is believed to be more contagious than the original COVID-19 strain.

“If the B.1.1.7 variant spreads in Colorado as rapidly as in the UK, high levels of infection control and / or vaccination will be important to avoid another major surge in hospital demand.” The modeling report states.

(Credit: CBS)

Hospital demand and cases are expected to decline, according to the report, but it could take three months for infection rates to rival last summer. The report also found that transmission control dropped from 82% two weeks ago to 78%.

“The slowdown in infectious disease may be due to a surge in holidays or policy changes implemented in the New Year,” the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment said in a news release.

Modeling reports also show that high levels of infection control and / or vaccination will be important to avoid a surge in hospital demand if the B.1.1.7 variant becomes as rapidly spread in Colorado as in the United Kingdom. understood.

Relation: Other Cases of COVID Variants Identified in Colorado

The group behind the modeling predictions consists of scientists and researchers from the University of Colorado School of Public Health, the University of Colorado School of Medicine, the CU Anschutz Medical Campus, and experts from the University of Colorado Boulder and the University of Colorado Denver. Colorado State University.

CDPHE COVID-19 Wednesday 4:00 pm data:

Vaccines (Phase 1A and 1B):

• 619 total vaccine providers
• 393,626 people vaccinated with one vaccination
• 98,301 people were vaccinated in two vaccinations
• Cumulative dose of 492,188 doses

test:

• A positive rate of 5.01% (7-day moving average) in 26,824 tests conducted on January 26
• The daily positive rate on January 26 is 4.84%

Hospital data:

• 662 patients currently hospitalized, 92% of institutions report (-12)
• 62 Patients under investigation for possible cases, not confirmed in the laboratory (-4)
• 98 patients discharged / transferred in the last 24 hours (-6)
• 11% Facilities that predict staff shortages within the next week (+ 0%)
• 1% Facilities that anticipate a shortage of PPE within next week (+ 0%)
• 9% Facility predicting ICU bed shortage within next week (+ 1%)
• 31% Critical Care Ventilator in Use (+ 0%)
• 75% of ICU beds in use (432 available)

Case overview:

• 390,258 cases (+1,638)
• 21,610 hospitalized (+48)
• 2,368,241 tested (+7,050)
• 5,310,316 test encounters (+30,453)
• 5,552 deaths between cases (+35)
• 4,881 deaths from COVID-19 (+64)
• 3,474 occurrences (+46)

For more information, please visit: covid19.colorado.gov/data..

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