UCSD fears COVID-19 surge could hit San Diego by New Year

If our toilet is any sign, San Diego County could quickly see a surge in cases of coronavirus.

On Saturday, an official at the University of California, San Diego said that a sample from the Point Loma wastewater treatment plant, which treats washed-out waste from two out of three in San Diego, is the best coronavirus the university has seen since February. I warned you that you have a level. Both Delta and Omicron variants of the virus are driving this rise.

Researchers have consistently found that when virus levels rise in wastewater, cases usually increase within two weeks, putting the area on track for a significant surge in early 2022. Vaccinated, immunized to return for boosters, and everyone thinks hard before attending a large, unmasked indoor gathering.

“In San Diego, cases of COVID will surge unprecedented. It’s already in motion,” said Rob Knight, a microbiota expert and one of the leaders in UCSD’s wastewater monitoring efforts. .. “There is still an opportunity to put this in wastewater and keep it out of hospitals and morgues.”

The weekend surprise announcement was the culmination of a short and intense scramble by the university. Around 4:30 pm on Friday, Knight received a text message from a member of the team reporting a sharp increase. After that, the university’s COVID-19 monitoring team was in a hurry to understand the data.

Their main question: Did Omicron drive the rise? It would have taken at least a week to come up with the answer by gene sequencing. Instead, researchers worked late at night and Saturday morning to perform molecular tests specifically designed to distinguish mutants. The test revealed that both Delta and Omicron variants contributed to the rise.

“It’s like two pandemics happening at the same time on different strains of the virus,” Knight said.

COVID-19 is best known for attacking the airways, but it also slips into the cells that line the intestines and can be excreted from human stools before you feel sick, so wastewater. The inspection works.

Local data over the past year show that a leap in wastewater virus levels predicts an infection found by standard nasal and throat swabs.

Data showing unprecedented spikes in coronavirus levels in samples collected from major wastewater treatment facilities in San Diego County. The blue line represents the virus level in the wastewater and the red line represents the cases reported in the county.

(University of California, San Diego)

The University of California, San Diego announcement includes a statement by the county’s public health officer, Dr. Wilma Uten, and new findings support increasing evidence that Omicron is widespread. And Dr. Christopher Longhurst, Chief Medical Officer at UCSD Health, begged the public to be tested for the virus early and often.

“If you feel a slight symptom, if you suspect you may have come into contact with a person with COVID-19, if you gather in a crowd without a mask, if you are planning a gathering — test, test, test” he Said in a statement. “Don’t wait.”

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