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Number of U.S. youth with diabetes could rise in coming decades

Number of U.S. youth with diabetes could rise in coming decades

 


January 3, 2023

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Researchers hypothesize that the number of young people with diabetes in the United States is likely to increase significantly in the coming decades, highlighting the need for diabetes prevention. diabetes care.

“The risk of type 2 diabetes appears to be of concern, especially as patients with type 2 diabetes have a worse cardiovascular risk profile and a higher risk of morbidity and mortality compared to adolescents and young adults with type 1 diabetes. is.” Thaddeus Tonys, medical doctor, Epidemiologists and colleagues at the Institute for Biometrics and Epidemiology at the German Diabetes Center in Düsseldorf, Germany, wrote. “In addition, health disparities in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes are likely to widen further in the future as a result of heterogeneous trends in incidence.”



diabetic child 2019
Researchers predict that by 2060, the number of young people with diabetes in the United States will increase significantly.Source: Adobe Stock

Researchers evaluated data from the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study from 2002 to 2017 to extrapolate the future Prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study included 3.6 million young people, of whom 7,759 had type 1 diabetes and 1,230 had type 2 diabetes.

The average annual incidence of diabetes observed in this study between 2002 and 2017 was about 1,100 with type 1 diabetes and about 1,100 with type 2 diabetes among the 5 million young people at risk each year. There were 300 people.

Based on this study, researchers number of young people with diabetes In 2017, there were 185,000 people with type 1 diabetes and 28,000 with type 2 diabetes. There are an estimated 48,000 people with type diabetes. These increases represent a 3% increase in the prevalence of type 1 diabetes and a 69% increase in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes.

If the rising trend in diabetes incidence observed between 2002 and 2017 continues, researchers project that the number of young people with diabetes will reach 306,000 with type 1 diabetes and 220,000 with type 2 diabetes. . These increases represent a 65% increase in the prevalence of type 1 diabetes and a 673% increase in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes.

Racial and ethnic disparities in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes may also widen significantly, according to researchers, with the highest diabetes prevalence observed among non-Hispanic black adolescents.

“If current trends continue, the U.S. healthcare system could face increased demand for early-onset diabetes care services, resulting in increased healthcare costs,” the researchers wrote.

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://www.healio.com/news/endocrinology/20230103/number-of-us-youths-with-diabetes-likely-to-increase-in-upcoming-decades

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