A risk-based approach to managing earthquakes induced by hydraulic fracturing

Diversification of stop lights

Traffic light protocols can help mitigate earthquakes induced by unconventional oil production. However, they have not been tuned geographically to explain how vibration can actually translate into structural damage. Schultz et al. Incorporating damage tolerance into traffic light protocol for Ford Eagle Shale play. They found that lockdowns may be necessary faster in populated areas, while sparsely populated areas of the theatricality can reach a magnitude 5 earthquake without problems. This risk-based strategy provides a more accurate approach to induced earthquake regulation.

Science, this number p. 504

Summary

The risk of induced earthquakes is a growing concern that needs effective management. For the Eagle Ford Shale Hydraulic Fracturing in South Texas, we developed a risk-aware strategy to select red light thresholds that require an immediate good shutdown. We used a range of data sets to simulate spatially damage and heterogeneous effects. The simulated effects are greater in the northeast than in the play and smaller in the southwest. This variation is driven by population density concentrations. Spatially variable red light thresholds measured on these effects [moment magnitude (Mw) 2.0 to 5.0] Fairer and safer than a single threshold applied over a large area. Sensitivity tests indicate that the maximum expected volume is the most influencing factor. Our method provides guidance for traffic light protocols and for induced earthquake risk management.

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