How Donald Trump's approval rating during the second term compares to his first

Donald Trump is more popular now than it was at the same time in his first mandate, according to new polls.

Why it matters

Donald Trump's increased popularity at this stage of his political career is important because it demonstrates its resilience and its attraction, despite many challenges, including legal battles and inflation. This support increase indicates that it has a solid basis of voters who continue to support it.

What to know

Gallup's latest survey, carried out between March 3 and 16, among 1,002 adults, shows that Trump has improved his approval notes since his first mandate. Overall, 45% of Americans now approve of Trump's performance, against 42% in his first mandate in 2017, a modest gain of 3 percentage points. The survey had an error margin of ± 2 percentage points.

The Newsweek Tracker also shows that Trump is more popular now than during his first mandate, according to the Gallup survey. The tracker now shows that its approval rating is now 47%, while 50% disapprove of.

The Realclearpolitics tracker shows that Trump's approval rating is currently 48%, while 49 disapprove of. This makes him more popular than it was at the same time in 2017, when his approval rating was 42%, while his disapproval rating was 52%, giving him a net approval of -10 points.

The Gallup survey suggests that the increase in the popularity of Trump is largely motivated by the increased support of men, black blacks, Hispanics and voters of generation Z.

While men have traditionally favored Republicans, the increase in Trump's approval rating among black Americans, Hispanics and voters of generation Z is notable because these groups have historically constituted a key element in the base of the Democratic Party. Trump made substantial progress among these groups in the 2024 elections. Among black Americans, Trump doubled his vote from 2020 to 16%, against 8%, according to the vote. He also increased his share of voices among Hispanic voters from 8 points to 43% in 2024.

However, some of his most substantial gains were among the youngest voters, with whom he increased his share of 11 points. According to Voting AP, 47% of 18-29 year olds voted for Trump in 2024, against 36% in 2020.

Among men, its approval increased by 6 points in the latest Gallup survey, from 48%to 54%, while women's approval remained stable at 36%. Age -related trends show notable changes, with support from the 18 to 29 year olds and 30 to 49 year olds increasing by 6 points each, reaching 37% and 46%, respectively.

However, Trump experienced a drop in older Americans, with approval in more than 65 adults dropping from 6 points, from 50% in 2017 to 44% in 2025, the highest decrease in any group. The racial and ethnic changes were even more pronounced. Trump’s approval among people of color increased by 12 points, going from 20% in its first mandate to 32% now. Non -Hispanic blacks have increased by 9 points, reaching 22%, while Hispanic Americans saw a 15 -point leap at 37%, marking the greatest gain among all groups.

The strengthening of Trump's popularity occurs despite the polls showing that its approval rating on its management of the economy is firmly negative. A Yougov / Yahoo survey (March 20-24) found an approval of 39% and an disapproval of 51%, the lowest in recent years. This reflects increasing concerns concerning the American economy, 26% thinking that the country is in or heads towards a recession. Other surveys, including Fox News and American Research Group, also show disapproval of more than 50% and a general fear of an economic slowdown.

Meanwhile, the Gallup survey shows that 59% disapprove of its management of the economy, while only 41% approve.

It comes then that the feelings of consumers of the University of Michigan found last month that the confidence of the Americans in the economy has fallen at its lowest level since July 2024.

But despite pessimism about the state of the economy, polls show that voters become more optimistic about the direction in which the country goes. Since then, things have radically changed. Now the tracker shows that 43 recently think that he is heading in the right direction, while 51 say he is on the wrong path.

Recent surveys conducted by NBC and Marist show the same trend. According to NBC, 44% now think that the country is on the right track – it is the highest average recorded for NBC since 2004. And according to the Marist survey, 44% also think that the country is on the right track. This is the second highest note recorded for the sounder since 2009.

For G. Elliott Morris, the former director of 538 for ABC News and author of the book and the newsletter of political data in number, it is not surprising that Trump is more popular at the moment. However, he noted that Trump was “even worse than each previous modern president at this stage of their presidency”.

Trump is the only president to start a mandate with an approval rating of less than 50%, according to Gallup.

President Joe Biden began his first mandate with a 57%approval rating, said Gallup.

President Donald Trump speaks during a reception celebrating the month of women's history in the east house of the White House on March 26 in Washington, DC president, Donald Trump, speaks during a reception celebrating the month of women in the east house in the White House on March 26 in Washington, DC Mark Schiefelbein /

G. Elliott Morris told Newsweek: “Gallup's survey shows that Trump's approval note 3 points more than this 2017 stage. It is not in itself shocking, because Trump's share of voting also increased by 3-4 points between the 2016 and 2024 elections.

“What is remarkable is that even with this record for Trump, it is always underwater, and always worse than each previous modern president at this stage of their presidency. For example, in my average polls, Trump has an average approval of 47% and 50% of average disapproval, for a clear rating of -3. In comparison, at this stage in 2021, Joe +3 was not net. The traditional presidential honeymoon.

What happens next

If Trump's popularity continues to increase, this could strengthen the position of the Republican Party before the middle of 2026 and beyond. Democrats can be forced to reassess their messaging and voter awareness strategies.

Morris told Newsweek that with the net approval rating of Trump currently underwater, the Republicans are “unlikely” to keep the house in 2026.

“By looking in 2026, most of the presidents lose control of the house during their first mandate. When they are underwater under approval, they have always lost seats. Only 220 seats after the 2024 elections (and several less now, because of the vacant posts), the Republicans are unlikely,” he said.

Update of 03/29/25, 11:08 am HE: This article was updated with the comments of Morris.

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