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Covid-19 can catch a cold in general, but can it take centuries?

 


So what does this mean to us in 2021, 18 months after the Covid-19 pandemic, where parts of the world have declared victory over the virus? Will others keep fighting?

This time, modern medicine has accumulated the potential for us. A highly effective vaccine means that it can prevent numerous hospitalizations and deaths... However, it remains unclear when Sars-CoV-2 may pose a less serious threat and can vary significantly around the world.

Professor Danny Altmann, an immunologist at Imperial College London, said:

He says that the idea that viral mutations act on “a more stable equilibrium with new hosts” has “some meaning and precedent.”

But he adds: “This is millions of miles from supporting short- to medium-term policy decisions that we should do little and” live with the virus. ”

A Paper Science I tried to give an overview of this orbit in February.. The author, led by Professor Jenny Ravin of Emory University in Atlanta, models the future of the virus based on its characteristics and other coronaviruses. The study suggests that “immunity that blocks infections declines rapidly, but immunity that reduces disease is long-lived.”

In other words, if you are immunized by either a previous infection or a vaccine, you may be infected again, but you are much less likely to get sick or die.

“Our model …[suggests] When the stage of endemic disease is reached and the primary exposure is in childhood, Sars-CoV-2 may not be as toxic as the common cold, “the paper concludes.

Dr. Julian Tan, a virologist at the University of Leicester, supports this hypothesis – With about 90 percent of scientists, according to a survey by Nature Earlier this year – And I’m more confident about the timeline.

“I tend to agree with the’seasonal cold’ [idea for the future]But in years, not centuries, “he says. “I’ve said this since the beginning of the pandemic, and it’s consistent with other respiratory viruses I’ve been studying around the world for 20 years.”

However, there are many factors that affect the rate at which this occurs, from vaccination rates to travel abroad.

“Timing is very variable,” he says.

..

Sources

1/ https://Google.com/

2/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/covid-19-likely-become-common-cold-could-take-centuries/

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