Oregon Has “Light of Hope” on COVID-19 Trend | Coronavirus

On the day the daily death toll from COVID-19 set a new record, Oregon health officials said some long-term forecasts said the increase in infection might have diminished. Will be provided.

“These predictions show that we are at a real turning point,” said Dr. Dean Sidelinger, state’s top infectious disease expert. “If you reduce the infection, you can see the infection decrease again.”

“Cautious optimism” came on the day when the Oregon Health Department also released a whole new number.

Oregon reported 9 deaths Friday-a new day record. Deschutes County and Umatilla County each caused two deaths. The death toll in the state is 282. The 28 dead last week were identified as the Portland dancer Lynn Bryan, 70, who died in March, less than 10% of the total deaths from the first. 14.

According to Sidelinger, the number of deaths per day is likely to increase further because the deaths are delayed due to the infection and hospitalization of cases immediately after and after the vacation on July 4 and the rapid increase in death. That is.

OHA also reported 396 new cases on COVID-19 Friday, bringing the total to over 16,000 since the first case appeared on February 28.

The percentage of positive tests increased from 6.2% the previous week to 6.6% in the past week. Health officials say less than 5% is needed to control pandemics in Oregon.

Promising signs are slowing with the increase in incidents. An important measure is the “r-factor”, the number of people each infected person has transmitted the virus. Today, the Oregon r-factor is 1.15.

Pat Allen, director of the Oregon Health Department, said the New York Times survey found that more than 70% of Oregon residents wear masks in indoor public spaces and are unable to maintain a 6-foot social distance outdoors. It indicates compliance.

Allen said the state continues to hit the “3 Ws” with a hammer: wash, put on a mask, and watch your distance from others.

“It’s a kind of boring theme, but thanks to repetition, it’s gone through,” Allen said. “We are seeing signs of data that people are paying attention to.”

Allen reiterated that gatherings held outdoors rather than indoors are unlikely to spread the virus. That’s the message that Allen said it would repeat.

Oregon currently has enough hospital beds, intensive care unit beds, and ventilators to support the expected number of cases. While the number of infectious diseases is increasing, the largest group explaining new cases is age 20-29, accounting for 22% of the total. They are less likely to suffer acute symptoms and require hospitalization or die.

Sidelinger predicts that the r-factor will fall below 1.0 with a further 10% drop in infection rates.

However, non-compliance with the rules can increase infections by 10% and increase hospitalizations and deaths.

“The cases will continue to grow exponentially and there will be a rapid lack of ability to treat people with serious illnesses,” he said.

Governor Kate Brown’s current emergency COVID-19 status lasts until Friday, September 4, before the three-day Labor Day weekend begins. On the anniversary and the 4th of July holidays, the incident surged shortly after.

Saidlinger said the timing of the announcement was up to Brown, but said the current numbers represent a further expansion of the emergency.

Mr Allen said the state will send guidelines on reopening procedures for K-12 schools sometime next week.

As of Friday, there were 4.09 million COVID-19 cases and 145,060 deaths in the United States as of Friday, according to the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Resource Center. According to the center, there are more than 15.6 million cases worldwide and 636,404 deaths.

The pandemic continues to set record numbers throughout the country. The death toll on Thursday has exceeded 500 in California, Texas and Florida alone.

Dr Deborah Bricks, coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Headquarters, said the outbreak in New York was unprecedented in all three states, as the infection hit New York this spring.

“We essentially have three New York in essence,” Brix said in an interview with NBC.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, top infectious disease expert in the US government, told the Washington Post that if the virus is outbreaking, the resumption should be reversed until the case’s load can be controlled.